Prediction for match Modena — Palermo, 24.01.2026

Match Analysis: Modena vs Palermo

On January 24th, Modena will face Palermo in Serie B. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Modena is priced at 2.38, a draw at 2.84, and a victory for Palermo at 3.39. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Modena - 39.37%, draw - 32.99%, Palermo - 27.64%. The most likely outcome seems to be a win for Modena, but the expectations are not significantly different, suggesting a potentially close contest. The over/under lines are also quite balanced, with under 2.5 goals at 1.69 and over 2.5 goals at 2.13, indicating a cautious outlook on goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Modena has averaged 47.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Over the same period, Palermo has had 43% possession, 2 yellow cards, 16.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Modena played as follows: 18.01.2026 Pescara - Modena 0-2, 11.01.2026 Padova - Modena 2-0, 26.12.2025 Modena - Monza 1-2. Palermo in their last three matches: 18.01.2026 Palermo - Spezia 1-0, 11.01.2026 Mantova - Palermo 1-1, 27.12.2025 Palermo - Padova 1-0. The last head-to-head match was on 19.10.2025: Palermo - Modena 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Modena vs Palermo

Over a series of five matches, Modena has an average of 2.4 goals per match, and Palermo 1.8. Both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per game, but Modena concedes 1.2, while Palermo concedes only 0.6. Modena has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Palermo has done so in only 1 out of 5, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for Modena and never for Palermo; in the second half, Modena went over 2 out of 5, and Palermo 1 out of 5. Modena most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (50%), while Palermo scores in the 31-45 and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Modena concedes most often in the 31-45 and 61-75 intervals (25% each), while Palermo concedes in three different intervals (0-15, 61-75, 76-90) at 33% each. Overall, both teams demonstrate a cautious style, leaning towards low-scoring matches. The most logical choice seems to be betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.69.

Corners in the Match

Modena averages 8 corners per game, Palermo 5.4. Modena has gone over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 games, while Palermo has done so in 2 out of 5. The closest total to the average sum of corners is 13.4, but lower values are presented in the line. For a total of 9.5, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 1.89, under 9.5 at 1.85. Modena is the favorite in terms of corners with odds of 1.60. Based on statistics, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners, given Modena's high activity in this area and frequent overs in the last five games.