Prediction for match Modena — Sudtirol, 23.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages

On November 23, Modena will face Sudtirol in Italy's Serie B. The odds for a Modena win are 1.71, a draw is at 3.54, and a Sudtirol victory is at 5.00. In percentage terms: Modena is at 54.79%, a draw is 26.47%, and Sudtirol is 18.74%. Modena is considered the favorite, but the likelihood of a draw is also quite significant. Bookmakers' expectations reflect the difference in class and current form between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Modena has averaged 57.4% possession, 1.8 offsides, 14.6 fouls, and 1.8 yellow cards per game. Sudtirol trails in these metrics: 30.8% possession, 1.8 offsides, 12.8 fouls, and 2 yellow cards. In Modena's last three games: November 8 Frosinone - Modena 2-2, November 2 Modena - Juve Stabia 3-0, October 28 Reggiana - Modena 1-0. For Sudtirol: November 8 Sudtirol - Carrarese 1-1, November 1 Padova - Sudtirol 1-1, October 29 Venezia - Sudtirol 3-0. In their head-to-head on December 29, 2024, Modena and Sudtirol drew 0-0, with the total under 2.5 goals. These data confirm that Modena often shows better results in possession and attacking actions, while Sudtirol struggles in attack.

How Many Goals to Expect?

For the over 2.5 total, Modena hit it 3 times in five matches, while Sudtirol only once. In the first half, the over 1.5 total was recorded once out of five for both teams, and in the second half, Modena twice, Sudtirol once. On average, Modena scores 1.6 and concedes 1 goal per game, while Sudtirol scores only 0.6 and concedes 1.4. Modena most frequently scores in the intervals 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (22% each), while Sudtirol scores in the intervals 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). Modena concedes half of their goals at the end (76-90), and Sudtirol concedes 75% between 31-45 minutes. These figures highlight Modena's advantage in attack and Sudtirol's finishing problems. Given Sudtirol's low scoring and frequent under 2.5 total, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems most logical for this match.

Analysis of Total Corners

For corners, Modena averages 6.2 over a five-match series, and Sudtirol 4.6. The total corners over 9.5 was hit by Modena 4 times out of 5, and by Sudtirol twice. The odds for total corners over 8.5 are 1.64, and under 8.5 are 2.23. Modena is the favorite in the corner outcome with odds of 1.41. Considering the corner statistics, one can expect Modena to be more active in this aspect, and the total over 8.5 has good chances of coming through.