Prediction for match Monaco — Lorient, 16.01.2026

Match Analysis: Monaco vs Lorient

In Ligue 1, Monaco will face Lorient on January 16th. The odds for a Monaco win are 1.64, a draw is 4.47, and a Lorient win is 5.53. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Monaco - 60.12%, draw - 22.06%, Lorient - 17.83%. Based on these numbers, Monaco is considered the favorite, but Lorient is capable of putting up a fight. The odds for over 2.5 goals are set at 1.64, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes is 1.62, no is 2.19, which also supports the idea of goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Monaco averaged 45.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Lorient, over the same period, had 45% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last three encounters: on January 10th, Orléans vs Monaco ended 1-3, on January 3rd, Monaco vs Lyon ended 1-3, and on December 21st, Auxerre vs Monaco ended 1-2. Lorient played as follows: January 10th, O Haut Lyonnais vs Lorient ended 1-3, January 4th, Lorient vs Metz ended 1-1, and December 14th, Strasbourg vs Lorient ended 0-0. In their last head-to-head on September 27, 2025, Lorient defeated Monaco 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Monaco has an average of 2.6 goals per game, while Lorient has 2.2. Monaco scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.2, whereas Lorient scores 1.6 and concedes only 0.6. For over 2.5 goals: Monaco had 3 out of 5 matches over, and Lorient had 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half Monaco had 3 out of 5, Lorient had 1 out of 5. For goal intervals: Monaco most often scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), Lorient between 31-45 minutes (50%). Monaco most frequently concedes at the end (76-90, 38%), while Lorient concedes evenly across all intervals (20% in five different segments). These figures suggest a tendency for high-scoring endings and support a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monaco averages 5.4 corners over their last five matches, Lorient 3.2. In a series of five games, Monaco's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 times, Lorient's 2 times. For the corner total line: over 8.25 is at 1.50, under 8.25 is 2.35. Monaco winning on corners is valued at 1.48. Considering the average corner activity and frequent over 9.5 totals for Monaco, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.25 corners or Monaco's advantage in this metric. Lorient's corner stats are lower, which is confirmed by both averages and frequency of overs.