Prediction for match Monaco — Lyon, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon is scheduled for January 3, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Monaco is priced at 2.03, Lyon at 3.68, and a draw at 3.98. In terms of probability percentages, Monaco is given a 48.50% chance, a draw 24.74%, and Lyon 26.76%. Monaco is the favorite in this matchup, but there's a noticeable difference in the recent scoring stats of both teams. Lyon has been showing high goal-scoring dynamics, while Monaco has been playing more pragmatically and cautiously in recent games. The betting line also highlights the option for both teams to score: yes at 1.51 and no at 2.42, indicating potential attacking activity from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Monaco's last three matches, the team played as follows: Auxerre - Monaco 1-2 on December 21, 2025, Marseille - Monaco 1-0 on December 14, 2025, and Monaco - Galatasaray 1-0 on December 9, 2025. In the same period, Lyon played these matches: Lyon - Le Havre 1-0 on December 14, 2025, Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 on December 11, 2025, and Lorient - Lyon 1-0 on December 7, 2025. On average, over the last five games, Monaco has 49.2% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside 3.2 times per match. Lyon's stats are: 63.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their head-to-head on May 10, 2025, Monaco defeated Lyon 2-0. These numbers highlight the style difference: Monaco plays more compactly, while Lyon prefers to control the ball and play more aggressively in attack.

Goals by Match Statistics

The goal-scoring performance in the last five matches varies significantly. Monaco averages a total of 1.4 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.6 per game. Lyon's average total goals are notably higher at 2.8, with Lyon scoring 2.4 and conceding only 0.4. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Monaco has 1 out of 5 matches over, while Lyon has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Monaco and twice for Lyon, while in the second half, it happened once for Monaco and twice for Lyon. For goal intervals: Monaco most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (33% each), and concedes in the same periods (50% each). Lyon scores most often in the first 15 minutes (29%) and at the start of the second half (46-60 minutes - 29%), conceding evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 (25% each). Considering Monaco's recent low-scoring games and Lyon's high attacking activity and solid defense, the bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.51 seems logical. Lyon consistently scores and rarely lets the opponent score, but Monaco at home can capitalize on their chances, especially after recent wins against Auxerre and Galatasaray.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For average corners per match, Monaco earns 5.2, and Lyon 5.8, totaling 11. In the last five matches, Monaco had over 9.5 corners 3 times, while Lyon had none. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is offered at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.88. Monaco is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.73. Considering the high averages for both teams, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical. Additionally, Monaco consistently earns more than 5 corners per match, and Lyon's flank activity increases the chances for a high corner total.