Prediction for match Monaco — Marseille

Match Analysis: Monaco vs. Marseille

On April 5th, in Ligue 1, Monaco will face Marseille. Bookmakers are offering odds of 2.24 for a Monaco win, 3.29 for a Marseille victory, and 3.76 for a draw. The probability percentages are: Monaco - 43.93%, draw - 26.17%, Marseille - 29.91%. For the over/under goals market, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.51, with both teams to score: yes at 1.45 and no at 2.59. You can also consider Monaco's individual total over 1.5 at 1.82 and Marseille's over 1.5 at 2.26. Double chance options are: 1X - 1.38, X2 - 1.72, 12 - 1.32. Correct score options include: 1:1 - 7.50, 2:1 - 8.50, 2:2 - 10.00, 1:2 - 10.00, 1:0 - 11.00, 2:0 - 12.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Monaco has had 45.4% possession, received an average of 2.6 yellow cards, committed 11 fouls, and been caught offside 1.8 times per game. Marseille, over the same period, has had 55.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Monaco's last three matches: March 22, 2026 - Lyon 1-2 Monaco, March 14, 2026 - Monaco 2-0 Brest, March 6, 2026 - PSG 1-3 Monaco. Marseille's last three: March 22, 2026 - Marseille 1-2 Lille, March 13, 2026 - Marseille 1-0 Auxerre, March 7, 2026 - Toulouse 0-1 Marseille. In their last head-to-head on December 14, 2025, Marseille beat Monaco 1-0.

How Many Goals in Monaco vs. Marseille?

In Monaco's last five matches, the average total goals were 3, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Marseille's average total was 2.8, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 3 out of their last 5 games. In the first half, Monaco has 0 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals, while Marseille has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Monaco has 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, Marseille has 3 out of 5. Monaco most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%), while Marseille scores most between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%). Monaco concedes most between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%), while Marseille concedes evenly across three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each). Both teams tend to have high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Given the average goals scored and conceded, a high-scoring game is expected. A bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.51 seems logical, considering both Monaco and Marseille often participate in matches with three or more goals, and their goal stats support this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Monaco averages 4.2 corners, while Marseille averages 6.2 per match. In their last five games, both teams have seen the total corners go over 9.5 in 3 out of 5 matches. The total closest to their average combined corners (10.4) is 9.5, with odds of 1.86 for over 9.5 and 1.88 for under. Monaco is favored in the corners market with odds of 2.08. Given the high averages and frequent over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified. Individual corner totals for both teams could also be worth considering, given their stable recent performances.