Prediction for match Monaco — PSG, 29.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The clash between Monaco and PSG in Ligue 1 is set to be one of the most anticipated games of the round. The odds for a PSG victory are 1.66, with a 59.42% chance of success. A draw is priced at 4.62 (21.35%), while Monaco's odds are 5.13 (19.23%). This setup reflects analysts' confidence in PSG's strength, considering their consistent form and attacking potential. In the goals total market, the odds for over 2.75 goals are 1.50, and for over 3.0 goals, it's 1.64, indicating expectations for a high-scoring match.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Monaco has averaged 48.6% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 12.6 fouls, and had 2 offsides per game. PSG shows higher control with 70.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Recent matches for Monaco include: 26.11.2025 Paphos - Monaco 2-2, 22.11.2025 Rennes - Monaco 4-1, 08.11.2025 Monaco - Lens 1-4. For PSG: 26.11.2025 PSG - Tottenham 5-3, 22.11.2025 PSG - Le Havre 3-0, 09.11.2025 Lyon - PSG 2-3. In their last head-to-head on 07.02.2025, PSG defeated Monaco 4-1, with the over 2.5 goals bet easily winning.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Monaco recorded 3 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, while PSG had 4 out of 5. In the first half, Monaco had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and PSG in 3 out of 5; the same goes for the second halves: 2 out of 5 for Monaco, 3 out of 5 for PSG. Average goals: Monaco scores and concedes 3.2 per game (1 scored, 2.2 conceded), PSG 4 (2.6 scored, 1.4 conceded). By intervals: Monaco most frequently scores from the 76th to the 90th minute (38%), PSG from the 46th to the 90th (25% in each of the three 15-minute segments). Conceding-wise: Monaco is vulnerable from the 31st to the 45th minute (33%), PSG also concedes more in this period (38%). Both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, with PSG showing particularly high scoring efficiency and stable attack. Based on these data, betting on over 2.75 goals seems logical, supported by both frequency and average goals scored and conceded.

Corners in the Match

Monaco averages 4.2 corners over the last 5 matches, PSG 7.2, totaling 11.4 per game. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Monaco 1 out of 5, PSG 5 out of 5. For the 9.5 corners total, there are odds for both: over 9.5 at 1.99, under 9.5 at 1.73. PSG is the favorite in the corners market with odds of 1.44. The cumulative stats and frequency of the total for PSG make over 9.5 corners a logical bet based on corner statistics. Meanwhile, Monaco has a low total series, and PSG consistently delivers many corners, which could lead to a high overall number of corners.