Prediction for match Montenegro — Croatia

Match Analysis: Montenegro vs Croatia

In the World Cup European Qualifiers, Montenegro will face Croatia on November 17, 2025. Croatia is the clear favorite for this encounter: the odds for an away win are 1.38, with a 69.04% chance of success. A draw is priced at 5.00 with a 19.05% probability, while a Montenegro win is at 8.00 with an 11.91% chance. These odds reflect confidence in Croatia's strength, considering their consistent performances in recent matches. Bets on other outcomes are significantly higher, highlighting the class difference between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Montenegro has an average possession of 48.6%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Croatia displays high control with 73.8% possession, only 0.8 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides on average per match. In Montenegro's last three games: Gibraltar 1-2 Montenegro on 14.11.2025, Faroe Islands 4-0 Montenegro on 09.10.2025, and Croatia 4-0 Montenegro on 08.09.2025. For Croatia: Croatia 3-1 Faroe Islands on 14.11.2025, Croatia 3-0 Gibraltar on 12.10.2025, and Czech Republic 0-0 Croatia on 09.10.2025. In their head-to-head on 08.09.2025, Croatia 4-0 Montenegro, the over 2.5 goals bet won.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Montenegro's last five matches, the total was over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. For Croatia, the total was over 2.5 goals three times and under twice as well. By halves: Montenegro had two overs of 1.5 in both first and second halves, Croatia had one in the first and three in the second. On average, Montenegro scores 0.4 and concedes 2.6 per match, while Croatia scores 2.2 and concedes just 0.2. Montenegro most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (27%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Croatia most often scores late (76th-90th minute, 36%) and concedes between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (50% each). Under these conditions, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical, considering Croatia's attacking prowess and Montenegro's defensive instability, as well as frequent overs in both teams' recent matches.

Corner Stats

Montenegro averages 4.8 corners over five games, while Croatia averages 11.8, which is significant. Four out of five of Montenegro's matches went over 9.5 corners, and all five of Croatia's did. The line for over 9.5 corners is set at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.88. Croatia is the favorite in corners outcome at 1.17. Betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, given both sides' high averages and frequent overs in recent matches.