Prediction for match Monterrey — Queretaro

Match Analysis: Monterrey vs Queretaro

In Liga MX on March 5th, Monterrey will face Queretaro. Bookmakers have Monterrey as the clear favorite, offering odds of 1.41 for their victory, 4.55 for a draw, and 6.93 for a Queretaro win. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Monterrey win - 66.08%, draw - 20.48%, Queretaro win - 13.44%. The betting line also includes options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for various betting strategies based on team styles. Odds for over 2.25 goals are at 1.51, and over 2.5 goals are at 1.70, reflecting moderate expectations for scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Monterrey played as follows: March 1st - Monterrey vs Cruz Azul - 0-2, February 22nd - UNAM Pumas vs Monterrey - 2-0, February 15th - Monterrey vs Leon - 1-0. Queretaro's last three games were: February 28th - Queretaro vs Santos Laguna - 2-2, February 14th - Atletico San Luis vs Queretaro - 3-0, February 7th - Queretaro vs Leon - 2-0. Looking at possession stats, Monterrey averages 58.6% over five matches, while Queretaro averages 38.2%. Monterrey averages 1.6 yellow cards per game, Queretaro 3.6. Monterrey records 12.4 fouls and 1 offside per match, Queretaro 12.8 fouls and 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on September 14, 2025, Queretaro lost to Monterrey 0-1.

Goals by Match Statistics

Monterrey has an average total of 1.6 goals per match over a five-game span, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1 goal per game. Queretaro averages 2.4 total goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Monterrey has not seen over 2.5 goals in any of their last five matches (0 of 5), while Queretaro has seen over 2.5 goals 3 out of 5 times. In the first half, both teams saw over 1.5 goals twice in five matches, while in the second half, Monterrey had none, and Queretaro had 2 out of 5. Monterrey scores most frequently between the 16th and 30th minutes (33%), while Queretaro distributes their goals across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (20% each). Monterrey concedes most often in the first 30 minutes (33% in the 0-15 and 16-30 intervals) and between the 61st and 75th minutes. Queretaro concedes most frequently between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Given Monterrey's low scoring and Queretaro's shaky defense, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.51 seems logical: Monterrey is expected to improve in attack, and Queretaro can contribute to the scoring.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monterrey averages 6.2 corners per match, Queretaro 3.2. Over five games, Monterrey had over 9.5 total corners three times, while Queretaro had none. The line closest to the sum of average values (9.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.90. Monterrey is favored in corners with odds of 1.31. Considering Monterrey's activity in corner kicks and Queretaro's low numbers, betting on over 9.5 total corners seems justified, especially if Monterrey attacks frequently and earns set pieces. An individual total of over 5.5 corners for Monterrey is also worth considering, given their average.