Prediction for match Monterrey — Cruz Azul

Match Analysis: Monterrey vs Cruz Azul

The Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Cruz Azul is scheduled for March 1, 2026. The odds are as follows: Monterrey's win is priced at 2.36, Cruz Azul at 2.86, and a draw at 3.34. In terms of probabilities: Monterrey is rated at 39.50%, a draw at 27.91%, and Cruz Azul at 32.59%. Although Monterrey has a slight edge according to the odds, Cruz Azul is not far behind, promising a closely contested battle for points. The market does not highlight a clear favorite, and both teams have realistic chances of success.

Team Results and Statistics

Monterrey's last five matches resulted in: 02/22/2026 - UNAM Pumas vs Monterrey - 2-0, 02/15/2026 - Monterrey vs León - 1-0, 02/12/2026 - Monterrey vs Xelajú - 2-0. During the same period, Cruz Azul played: 02/22/2026 - Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara - 2-1, 02/15/2026 - Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL - 2-1, 02/13/2026 - Cruz Azul vs Vancouver FC - 5-0. On average, Monterrey holds 58.8% possession, records 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Cruz Azul's possession is 52.8%, with 3 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 10/26/2025, Cruz Azul defeated Monterrey 2-0. These stats reflect the difference in discipline and playing style between the teams and show that Cruz Azul can achieve results against Monterrey.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Monterrey averages 2 goals per game over the last five matches, scoring 1 and conceding 1. Cruz Azul significantly outperforms with an attacking potential of 3.2 goals on average per match, scoring 2.6 and conceding just 0.6. Monterrey has gone over 2.5 goals in only 1 of 5 matches, while Cruz Azul has done so in 4 of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, while in the second half, Monterrey did it once and Cruz Azul three times. Monterrey most often scores between 16-30 minutes (38%), while Cruz Azul scores between 31-45 minutes (40%). Monterrey concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%) and between 61-75 minutes (50%), while Cruz Azul concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Overall, Cruz Azul consistently shows high scoring ability, while Monterrey has adopted a more restrained style in recent matches. Given that Cruz Azul has gone over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 times and both teams have high average goals, a bet on both teams to score: yes, priced at 1.60, seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monterrey averages 5.6 corners per match, while Cruz Azul averages 3.8. Monterrey has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 of 5 matches, while Cruz Azul hasn't in any. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of averages (9.4) is 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 at 1.91, under 9.5 at 1.83. Monterrey is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.87. Overall, Monterrey tends to take more corners and may surpass Cruz Azul in this aspect, and a bet on over 9.5 corners looks justified, given the average values and frequency for Monterrey.