Prediction for match Monterrey — Guadalajara

Match Analysis: Monterrey vs Guadalajara

On March 22, Monterrey will face Guadalajara in Liga MX. Bookmakers have set odds at 2.94 for a Monterrey win, 3.38 for a draw, and 2.29 for a Guadalajara victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Monterrey - 31.71%, draw - 27.58%, Guadalajara - 40.71%. Guadalajara is favored, but the gap isn't substantial. The most intriguing betting options are on total goals and both teams to score, given the attacking profiles of both teams in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Monterrey recorded the following results: 18.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 1-1, 14.03.2026 Juarez - Monterrey 2-2, 11.03.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2-3. Guadalajara played as follows: 19.03.2026 Guadalajara - Leon 5-0, 14.03.2026 Guadalajara - Santos Laguna 3-0, 08.03.2026 Atlas - Guadalajara 1-2. On average, over the last five matches, Monterrey had 52% possession, committed 13.6 fouls, received 2.8 yellow cards, and recorded 1 offside per game. Guadalajara's stats were: 63.2% possession, 13.2 fouls, 2.8 yellow cards, and 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 08.11.2025, Guadalajara defeated Monterrey 4-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Monterrey's average total goals per match is 3.2, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.4. Guadalajara has a similar average total of 3.2, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1. Monterrey surpassed the over 2.5 goals line in 3 out of 5 matches, while Guadalajara did so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, and three times in the second half. Monterrey often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Guadalajara does the same (31%). Monterrey concedes most frequently in the early stages (0-15 minutes, 33%) and late stages (76-90 minutes, 33%), whereas half of Guadalajara's conceded goals occur in the last 15 minutes. This profile suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, especially in the second half. The overall goal statistics and over total lines support a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.83.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monterrey averages 3.2 corners per match, while Guadalajara averages 5.8. Both teams have surpassed the over 9.5 corners line in 1 out of 5 matches. With the average total (9) closest to the 9.5 line, odds are 2.11 for over and 1.65 for under. For corners outcome, Guadalajara is favored with odds of 2.00. Given Guadalajara's consistent corner-taking advantage, it makes sense to consider a bet on their corner dominance or on over 9.5 corners.