Prediction for match Monterrey — Leon

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between Monterrey and Leon in Liga MX is scheduled for 15.02.2026. Monterrey is considered the clear favorite with odds of 1.53 and a 60.87% chance of winning. Leon is at 5.41 with a 17.21% chance, and a draw is offered at 4.25 (21.91%). In terms of total goals, the line for Over 2.5 is at 1.52, while Under 2.5 is at 2.24. Both teams to score: yes - 1.64, no - 2.13. For individual totals: Monterrey Over 1.5 is at 1.51, Leon Over 1 is at 2.19. For half totals: Second half over 1.5 is at 1.80, under 1.5 is at 1.93. These odds reflect expectations for a high-scoring game, with Monterrey having a significant advantage.

Team Statistics and Recent Results

In their last five matches, Monterrey has an average possession of 57.6%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Leon, in the same period, maintains 52.4% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. Monterrey's last three results: 12.02.2026 - Monterrey vs Xelaju - 2-0, 08.02.2026 - Club America vs Monterrey - 1-0, 01.02.2026 - Monterrey vs Tijuana - 2-2. Leon's last three matches: 07.02.2026 - Queretaro vs Leon - 2-0, 01.02.2026 - Leon vs Tigres UANL - 1-2, 18.01.2026 - UNAM Pumas vs Leon - 1-1. In their head-to-head on 12.08.2025, Leon lost to Monterrey 1-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Monterrey vs Leon

Over the last five games, Monterrey averages 3 total goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per match. Leon averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.6. Monterrey has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Leon has done so in 3 out of 5. In terms of halves, Monterrey has over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 games, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Leon has over 1.5 in the first half in only 1 out of 5, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Monterrey most frequently scores between the 76-90 minute mark (50%), while Leon scores most often between 46-60 minutes (33%). Monterrey concedes most often in the 0-15 and 16-30 minute ranges (30% each), while Leon concedes most in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute ranges (40% each). Overall, both teams tend to have high-scoring finishes, and Monterrey consistently scores more than one goal per match. Leon concedes an average of 1.6, increasing the likelihood of an over 2.5 goals outcome. A logical bet would be on Over 2.5 goals at 1.52.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

Monterrey averages 4.6 corners per match, while Leon averages 5.2. Monterrey has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches, Leon in 2 out of 5. The total corners line closest to their combined average (9.8) is 9.5, with options for over 9.5 corners at 1.73 and under 9.5 at 1.97. Monterrey is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.43. Considering both teams' average activity and frequency of overs, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, and Monterrey often wins in this metric.