Prediction for match Montpellier — Troyes

Match Odds and Probabilities

In Ligue 2, Montpellier faces Troyes on April 4, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Troyes is favored at 2.52, Montpellier at 2.71, and a draw at 3.26. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Montpellier - 34.40%, Draw - 28.60%, Troyes - 37.00%. These figures suggest a slight edge for Troyes, but Montpellier is not far behind. Additional markets highlight both teams to score: yes at 1.60 and no at 2.19, with over 2.5 goals at 1.79. Options for individual team totals and half-time totals are also available with odds above 1.50, providing several directions for predictions.

Team Results and Statistics

Montpellier has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Recent games include: March 20, 2026, Pau - Montpellier 0-0, March 13, 2026, Montpellier - Laval 2-0, March 6, 2026, Nancy - Montpellier 0-3. Over these five matches, Montpellier's averages are: 51.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 19 fouls, 1.8 offsides. Troyes has won all of their last five matches: March 21, 2026, Troyes - Dunkerque 5-1, March 16, 2026, Annecy - Troyes 1-2, March 7, 2026, Troyes - Clermont Foot 2-1. Troyes averages: 57% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, 4 offsides. In their last meeting on August 23, 2025, Troyes defeated Montpellier 1-0. Previous encounters have seen victories for both teams and a draw, indicating the unpredictability of this matchup.

Team Scoring Trends

Montpellier shows low scoring in their recent five-match series: average total goals per match - 1.2, scoring 1 and conceding 0.2. Montpellier has only 1 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, and under 2.5 in 4 out of 5. They haven't had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in any match, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Troyes, on the other hand, demonstrates high attacking potential: average total goals per match - 4.2, scoring 3 and conceding 1.2. Troyes has 4 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, 2 out of 5 in the first half with over 1.5, and 5 out of 5 in the second half. Both teams most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minutes: Montpellier 67%, Troyes 50%. Montpellier also concedes 67% of their goals at the end, while Troyes concedes more often between the 46th and 60th minutes (44%). Given these disparities, a bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.60 seems logical - Troyes has a stable attack, and Montpellier could score at least once, especially at home and considering their recent goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Montpellier and Troyes average 4.4 corners per match. In a five-match series, Montpellier had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 total corners, while Troyes had 1 out of 5. Notable corner totals include Montpellier's individual total over 4.5 at 1.91 and under 4.5 at 1.80, as well as Troyes over 4.5 at 2.00 and under 4.5 at 1.73. Together, both teams could reach 8-9 corners, but the frequency of exceeding 9.5 is low. In this scenario, a bet on Montpellier's individual total corners over 4.5 looks interesting, considering their average figures and Troyes' offside frequency, which could lead to additional set-pieces for Montpellier.