Prediction for match Monza — Avellino

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B, Monza will face Avellino on February 8. According to the 1X2 odds, Monza is the favorite with a winning odd of 1.64, a draw is at 3.78, and a victory for Avellino is priced at 5.22. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Monza - 57.21%, draw - 24.82%, Avellino - 17.97%. This indicates a significant advantage for Monza, though a draw is also a possibility according to the bookmakers. The betting market also offers options on totals, both teams to score, and individual team performances, providing a range of choices for predictions.

Team Results and Statistics

Monza has shown solid ball possession, averaging 55.4% over the last 5 matches, along with 3.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Avellino is similar in these metrics: 55% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Monza defeated Padova 2-1 (01.02.2026), thrashed Pescara 3-0 (24.01.2026), and drew with Frosinone 2-2 (17.01.2026). During the same period, Avellino beat Cesena 3-1 (31.01.2026), lost to Spezia 0-1 (24.01.2026), and fell to Carrarese 1-2 (17.01.2026). The last head-to-head encounter was on September 12, 2025, where Avellino won 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Monza has been playing high-scoring games: in the last five matches, the average total goals per game is 2.8, with Monza scoring 1.8 goals per match and conceding 1. Avellino's average total is 2.6, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Monza has surpassed this total in 4 out of 5 matches, Avellino in 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with more than 1.5 goals, while in the second half, Monza had 3 out of 5 and Avellino 2 out of 5. Monza most often scores between the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute marks (25% each), while Avellino scores in the same 16-30 and 31-45 intervals, as well as 46-60 (25% each). Monza tends to concede late (76-90, 33%), while Avellino concedes early (0-15, 40%) and mid-second half (61-75, 40%). Overall, the statistics of both teams support betting on over 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.95. This is backed by both the average scoring and the frequency of over 2.5 goals in recent matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Monza averages 7.4 corners over the last five matches, while Avellino averages 6. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 4 out of 5 for Monza and 3 out of 5 for Avellino. The total closest to the combined average (13.4) is the 9.5 line, with odds for over 9.5 corners at 1.91 and under 9.5 at 1.74. Monza is the favorite in corner outcomes with an odd of 1.35. In this scenario, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the high averages and frequency of this total being surpassed in recent matches.