Prediction for match Monza — Sudtirol, 08.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Serie B on December 8, Monza will face Sudtirol. According to the odds for the regular time, a victory for Monza is priced at 1.57, a draw at 3.80, and a win for Sudtirol at 5.97. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Monza - 59.66%, draw - 24.65%, Sudtirol - 15.69%. For the total goals, over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.08, and under 2.5 goals at 1.72. Both teams to score: yes - 2.10, no - 1.66. The clear bias towards Monza is confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Monza has been in good form in their last five matches: a 2-2 draw with Juve Stabia, a narrow 1-0 victory over Cesena, a confident 2-0 away win against Pescara, a home win over Spezia 1-0, and a 3-0 thrashing of Palermo. In the same period, Sudtirol drew with Modena 0-0, Carrarese 1-1, and Padova 1-1, lost to Avellino 0-1, and suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat to Venezia. In their head-to-head match on August 9, 2024, the teams played out a 0-0 draw. Over the last five matches, Monza has had 54.2% possession, averaged 2.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Sudtirol has had 37% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Monza looks stronger in several areas, especially in possession and discipline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Monza has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded, with an overall average total of 2.2 goals per game. Sudtirol's stats are noticeably lower: 0.4 goals scored, 1.2 goals conceded, for a total of 1.6 goals per game. For over 2.5 goals: Monza has 2 out of 5 matches over, Sudtirol has 1 out of 5. In the first halves, more than 1.5 goals were recorded only once out of 5 for both teams, while in the second halves, Monza had 2 out of 5, and Sudtirol 1 out of 5. Monza most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Sudtirol also scores in this range (40%). Monza concedes most often between the 16th and 30th minutes and the 46th and 60th minutes (29% each), while Sudtirol concedes evenly at 33% in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes. Considering Sudtirol's low scoring, Monza's solid defense, and the frequent occurrences of under 2.5 goals, a bet on total goals under 2.5 at 1.72 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Monza averages 6.4 corners in their last five matches, while Sudtirol averages 5.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for both teams. Among the available totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is priced at 3.58, under 11.5 at 1.21. Monza is the favorite for corners (1.31). Given the statistics of both teams, it's logical to expect 10-12 corners, with Monza likely to be more active in this aspect.