Prediction for match Moreirense — Benfica

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga on December 14, Moreirense will face Benfica. The odds for Benfica to win are 1.43, a draw is at 4.86, and a Moreirense win is at 7.95. According to bookmakers, the probabilities are distributed as follows: Moreirense - 12.20%, draw - 19.96%, Benfica - 67.84%. Benfica is the favorite, as confirmed by the significant percentage advantage. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.88, and for under 2.5 goals, they are 2.01, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring match, albeit with some caution regarding goals. Both teams to score: yes - 2.15, no - 1.63. Individual totals options: Moreirense over 0.5 goals is at 1.84, Benfica over 1.5 goals is at 1.50. Double chance options: 1X - 2.97, X2 - 1.08, 12 - 1.20.

Recent Matches Overview

In their last five matches, Moreirense drew 3-3 with Estoril (07.12.2025), drew 2-2 with Famalicão (29.11.2025), lost 1-2 to Braga (09.11.2025), beat Arouca 2-0 (02.11.2025), and lost 1-2 to Porto (27.10.2025). Benfica, in their last five matches, defeated Napoli 2-0 (10.12.2025), drew 1-1 with Sporting Lisbon (05.12.2025), won 2-1 against Nacional (29.11.2025), beat Ajax 2-0 (25.11.2025), and drew 2-2 with Casa Pia (09.11.2025). The last meeting between these teams was on February 8, 2025, with Benfica winning 3-2. Over the last five matches, Moreirense averages 46% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Benfica averages 51% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Moreirense has an average total of 3.6 goals per match, scoring and conceding 1.8 goals each. Benfica has an average total of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. Moreirense has had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Benfica has had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches. By halves, Moreirense had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 matches and over 1.5 in the second half in 3 out of 5. Benfica had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of 5 matches, and over 1.5 in the second half in 2 out of 5. Moreirense most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%) and concedes late (76th-90th, 30%). Benfica most often scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (50% each) and concedes late (76th-90th, 50%). These stats suggest that Moreirense tends to be involved in high-scoring matches, while Benfica shows solid defense but also scores consistently. Considering Moreirense's frequent over 2.5 goal matches, both teams' average scoring stats, and the tendency for activity after the break, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Moreirense averages 3.4 corners, and Benfica averages 5.2 per match. In their last five matches, Moreirense did not have a single match with over 9.5 corners, while Benfica had 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 8.5, with the following odds: over 8.5 corners - 1.57, under 8.5 - 2.16. In the corner outcome market, Benfica is the favorite with odds of 1.12. Considering both teams average around 9 corners combined, it makes sense to consider betting on over 8.5 corners, as well as Benfica's advantage in this aspect.