Prediction for match Moreirense — Estoril

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril is set for 20.04.2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Estoril is the favorite: Estoril's win is priced at 2.40, Moreirense at 3.16, and a draw at 3.35. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Moreirense - 30.68%, draw - 28.94%, Estoril - 40.39%. This setup reflects Estoril's advantage according to bookmakers' expectations and statistics. Options for totals and both teams to score are also presented, but the main focus is on Estoril's victory, considering the difference in percentages and odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Moreirense has averaged 43% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 11.8 fouls, and had 0.6 offsides per game. Estoril appears more active in these metrics: 54.6% possession, 2.4 yellows, 14 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Moreirense played as follows: 10.04.2026 - Famalicão - Moreirense - 1-1, 04.04.2026 - Moreirense - Braga - 0-1, 21.03.2026 - Moreirense - Arouca - 0-1. Estoril's last three encounters: 12.04.2026 - Estoril - Porto - 1-3, 06.04.2026 - Arouca - Estoril - 3-2, 22.03.2026 - Estoril - Rio Ave - 1-2. The last head-to-head between these teams was on 07.12.2025 and ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Moreirense has an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.4 per match. Estoril has a higher average total of 2.6, with 1 scored and 1.6 conceded. On over 2.5 goals: Moreirense has 1 out of 5, Estoril - 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Moreirense 1 time in 5, for Estoril - 2 out of 5. In the second half, Moreirense never exceeded 1.5, while Estoril did 2 times in 5. In terms of goal intervals, Moreirense scores evenly across all periods, 20% in each of the five intervals, but concedes mainly from the 61st to the 75th minute (50%). Estoril scores 20% in each interval but concedes most frequently in the first 15 minutes (38%). Overall, the stats on totals and goal distribution confirm Estoril's greater scoring capability, while Moreirense struggles in attack. This provides grounds to select Estoril's victory as the main prediction, given Moreirense's low scoring rate and Estoril's consistency in goals and totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Moreirense averages 2.4 per game over 5 matches, Estoril - 4.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Moreirense is 4 out of 5, for Estoril - 1 out of 5. Among the totals with Over/Under outcomes, the total closest to the sum of average corners (6.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.34, under 7.5 at 2.83. In corner outcomes, Estoril is favored with odds of 1.88. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on Estoril's individual corner total over the average value, as well as noting the overall total over 7.5.