Prediction for match Moreirense — Famalicao, 29.11.2025

Match Analysis: Moreirense vs Famalicão

On November 29, 2025, Moreirense will face Famalicão in the Primeira Liga. In the 1X2 odds, Famalicão is the favorite with odds of 2.16, while Moreirense is at 3.70 and a draw is priced at 3.34. The probability distribution percentages are: Moreirense - 26.17%, draw - 28.99%, Famalicão - 44.83%. This indicates a higher confidence in Famalicão, although a draw is also quite possible given the relatively high percentage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Moreirense has averaged 44.6% possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 14 fouls, and been offside 1.6 times per game. Famalicão has 52.8% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 18.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Recent results for Moreirense: Braga 2-1 Moreirense (09.11.2025), Arouca 0-2 Moreirense (02.11.2025), Moreirense 1-2 Porto (27.10.2025). For Famalicão: Famalicão 0-1 Porto (09.11.2025), Nacional 0-1 Famalicão (01.11.2025), Famalicão 2-0 Vitória Guimarães (26.10.2025). In their last encounter on 23.07.2025, Moreirense lost to Famalicão 0-1, with the total under 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

Moreirense has hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 4 of their last 5 games, whereas Famalicão has not in any of their 5. In the first half, Moreirense had over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, while Famalicão had none. In the second half, Moreirense had over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, Famalicão 1 out of 5. On average, Moreirense scores and concedes 1.6 goals per game, totaling 3.2 goals per match. Famalicão averages 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.4. Moreirense tends to score most in the 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minute intervals (25% each), while Famalicão scores most in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Moreirense concedes most in the first 15 minutes (38%), Famalicão at the end of the first half (31-45, 67%). Considering Famalicão's low scoring and the strong trend towards under totals, betting on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74 seems logical.

Corners

Moreirense averages 3.4 corners over 5 matches, while Famalicão averages 7.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Moreirense 1 out of 5, Famalicão 3 out of 5. The closest total to the average sum is 11.5, with odds for over 11.5 corners at 3.12 and under at 1.30. Famalicão is favored in corners with odds of 1.57. Given Famalicão's consistent dominance in corners and Moreirense's rare high numbers, a bet on Famalicão's individual corners over 7.5 is worth considering.