Prediction for match Moreirense — Sporting CP

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Primeira Liga match between Moreirense and Sporting CP, the bookmakers have a clear favorite. Sporting CP's victory is priced at 1.29, a draw at 5.93, and a win for Moreirense at 11.80. The probabilities for the outcomes are as follows: 75.37% for a Sporting CP win, 16.39% for a draw, and 8.24% for a Moreirense win. The match is scheduled for 21.02.2026. This reflects the difference in class and current form of the teams, as well as the statistics from recent meetings. Sporting CP is consistently regarded as the favorite in such encounters, as confirmed by the distribution of percentages for the main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Moreirense has an average possession of 49.4%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Sporting CP, on the other hand, boasts higher possession at 65%, with 3 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 3 offsides. In Moreirense's last three matches: 16.02.2026 Rio Ave - Moreirense 1-2, 07.02.2026 Moreirense - Gil Vicente 1-2, 30.01.2026 Vitoria Guimaraes - Moreirense 1-0. For Sporting CP: 15.02.2026 Sporting CP - Famalicao 1-0, 09.02.2026 Porto - Sporting CP 1-1, 05.02.2026 Sporting CP - ABC 3-2. The last head-to-head on 22.09.2025 ended with a 3-0 victory for Sporting CP. It's also worth noting that Moreirense averages 2.8 corners over five matches, while Sporting CP averages 10.4. The teams are close in terms of yellow cards and fouls, but Sporting CP is more frequently caught offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five games, Moreirense averages 2.2 goals per match, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. Sporting CP's average total is higher at 3.2, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring games. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once for both teams, while in the second half, Moreirense had over 1.5 in 2 out of 5, and Sporting CP in 4 out of 5. The most frequent goal interval for Moreirense is 61-75 minutes (50%), and for Sporting CP, it's 76-90 minutes (38%). Moreirense concedes goals evenly across five intervals, while Sporting CP concedes 63% of their goals in the final stages (76-90). These stats confirm that teams, especially Sporting CP, are more active in the second half. Considering the average scoring, over 2.5 goals trend, and second-half activity, it's logical to consider over 2.5 goals at 1.70 as the main prediction for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over a five-match period, Moreirense averages 2.8 corners, while Sporting CP averages 10.4. Moreirense has exceeded 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, and Sporting CP in 4 out of 5. The nearest average total is 13.2, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.90. Sporting CP is favored for corners with odds of 1.07. In this match, Sporting CP is expected to dominate in the number of corners, and the overall corner total may exceed 9.5, given the team's high activity in this area.