Prediction for match Moreirense — Tondela, 11.01.2026

Match Analysis: Moreirense vs Tondela

On January 11th, Moreirense will face Tondela in the Primeira Liga. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Moreirense to win is at 2.20, a draw is at 3.30, and Tondela to win is at 3.64. In terms of probability, Moreirense is rated at 44.03%, a draw at 29.35%, and Tondela at 26.61%. These numbers suggest that Moreirense is the favorite, but the margin isn't overwhelming, keeping the outcome intriguing. Additional markets also indicate moderate scoring, but the main focus of the odds leans towards a Moreirense victory.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Moreirense averages 53.4% ball possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 16 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Tondela averages 38.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 3 offsides. Moreirense's last three matches: January 3, 2026 - ABC vs Moreirense - 0-2, December 20, 2025 - Estrela vs Moreirense - 0-0, December 14, 2025 - Moreirense vs Benfica - 0-4. For Tondela: January 3, 2026 - Tondela vs Arouca - 3-1, December 21, 2025 - Tondela vs Casa Pia - 1-2, December 15, 2025 - Nacional vs Tondela - 3-1. In their last head-to-head on April 29, 2023, Moreirense defeated Tondela 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, the average total goals per game for Moreirense is 3.2, and for Tondela, it's 2.8. Moreirense scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8, while Tondela scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6 on average. Both teams have seen the total go over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, indicating a tendency for high scoring. In terms of halves, both Moreirense and Tondela have 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. This is further supported by timing intervals: Moreirense most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (60%), while Tondela scores in the same 46-60 (29%) and 76-90 (29%) intervals. Both teams also concede most goals between the 46th and 60th minute (Moreirense - 27%, Tondela - 33%). Overall, the statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.20, given the regular occurrence of this total and high average goal figures.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Moreirense averages 5 corners in their last five matches, while Tondela averages 4.6. For over 9.5 corners, Moreirense has 1 out of 5 matches, while Tondela has 4 out of 5. Among the corner totals, there is an option: over 9.5 corners at 2.02, under 9.5 at 1.69. For corners, Moreirense is favored with odds of 1.74. Based on the average activity of both teams, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Tondela's frequent occurrence of this total. Additionally, a bet on Moreirense for corners can be considered, based on the odds.