Prediction for match Motherwell — Aberdeen

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Scottish Premiership on 15.02.2026, Motherwell will face Aberdeen. The odds for a Motherwell win are 1.68, a draw is at 3.86, and an Aberdeen victory is priced at 4.70. According to the probability percentages, Motherwell has a 55.78% chance of winning, a draw is estimated at 24.28%, and Aberdeen's chances are 19.94%. Thus, the bookmakers clearly favor Motherwell, as reflected in both the odds and the probability distribution. This indicates confidence in Motherwell's more consistent results at this stage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Motherwell has shown good ball possession at 59.4%, averaging 1.4 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Aberdeen, over the same period, averaged 47.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match. Motherwell's last three matches were: 11.02.2026 Motherwell - Rangers 1-1, 31.01.2026 Livingston - Motherwell 0-2, 24.01.2026 Motherwell - Kilmarnock 4-0. Aberdeen's last three results were: 31.01.2026 Kilmarnock - Aberdeen 3-0, 24.01.2026 Aberdeen - Livingston 6-2, 11.01.2026 Aberdeen - Rangers 0-2. In their last head-to-head on 09.11.2025, Aberdeen and Motherwell drew 1-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Match Motherwell - Aberdeen

In the last five games, Motherwell's matches had over 2.5 goals once, and under 2.5 goals four times. Aberdeen, in the same period, had over 2.5 goals in two matches and under 2.5 goals in three. Motherwell's average goals per game is 2.4, scoring an average of 2 goals and conceding just 0.4. Aberdeen's average total goals per game is 3.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2. In terms of halves, Motherwell had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice, under three times, and over 1.5 in the second half twice, under three times. Aberdeen had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times, under twice, and over 1.5 in the second half only once, under four times. In terms of goal intervals, Motherwell most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Aberdeen scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%). Motherwell concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%), Aberdeen between 16-30 minutes (50%). Considering both teams' average scoring rates and goal distribution by halves and intervals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems justified. Both teams are capable of scoring, and Aberdeen has recently been involved in high-scoring encounters.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Motherwell averages 5.4 corners per game, Aberdeen 5. In the last five games, Motherwell's total corners over 9.5 occurred twice, under three times, while Aberdeen's over 9.5 happened three times, under twice. The total closest to both teams' average combined (10.4) is the 10.5 line. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.10, under 10.5 is 1.64. In terms of corner outcomes, Motherwell is favored with odds of 1.33. Given that both teams regularly deliver 5 or more corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners, especially if an active game on the flanks and many set pieces are expected.