Prediction for match Motherwell — Kilmarnock, 24.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Scottish Premiership on January 24, Motherwell will face Kilmarnock. Bookmakers see Motherwell as the clear favorite: odds for their victory are 1.47, a draw is at 4.20, and a win for Kilmarnock is priced at 6.71. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Motherwell - 63.73%, draw - 22.31%, Kilmarnock - 13.96%. This reflects Motherwell's advantage in current form and recent results. Options for totals and both teams to score are also available, but the main focus is on a low-scoring profile for the match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Motherwell has an average possession of 53.4%, records 1.4 yellow cards, commits 10.6 fouls, and is caught offside 3.4 times per game. Kilmarnock lags behind in ball control with 44.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Motherwell played as follows: January 10 - Hibernian vs Motherwell 1-1, January 3 - Motherwell vs St. Mirren 2-0, December 30 - Motherwell vs Celtic 2-0. During the same period, Kilmarnock's results were: January 10 - Livingston vs Kilmarnock 1-1, January 3 - Kilmarnock vs Hibernian 1-3, December 30 - Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock 2-1. In their last head-to-head on November 22, Kilmarnock lost to Motherwell 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Motherwell's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals did not occur even once - 0 out of 5 for over, 5 out of 5 for under. For Kilmarnock, the total over 2.5 was recorded twice, under three times. Both teams show low scoring in halves: in the first half, there were no matches with more than 1.5 goals (0 out of 5 for both), in the second half, Motherwell - 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, Kilmarnock - 2 out of 5. Motherwell's average goals per match is 1.6, Kilmarnock's is 2. Motherwell scores 1.2 and concedes 0.4, Kilmarnock scores 0.6 and concedes 1.4. Motherwell most frequently scores between the 46-60 and 61-75 minute intervals (29% each), Kilmarnock - 46-60 (50%). For goals conceded, 100% of Motherwell's occur between the 46-60 minute, and 33% of Kilmarnock's between 61-75. This profile of both teams and the frequency of under 2.5 totals suggest a low-scoring prediction.

Corner Totals Analysis

Motherwell averages 3.4 corners per match, Kilmarnock - 4. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Motherwell has 1 out of 5, Kilmarnock has 3 out of 5. For the 9.5 total, both lines are available: over 9.5 is at 1.70, under 9.5 is at 1.96. For corners, Motherwell is the favorite with odds of 1.31. Based on average figures and frequencies, the match may feature a moderate number of corners, but no clear tilt towards an over profile is observed.