Prediction for match Motor Lublin — Raków

Match Analysis: Motor Lublin vs Raków

In the Ekstraklasa on April 12, 2026, Motor Lublin will face Raków. According to the 1X2 odds, Raków is the favorite with odds of 2.35, while Motor Lublin is at 2.84, and a draw is priced at 3.38. The probability percentages are as follows: 32.80% for a Motor Lublin win, 27.56% for a draw, and 39.64% for a Raków victory. As for the goal totals, over 2.5 goals is at 1.76, under 2.5 is at 2.01. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.60, no is at 2.19. For individual team totals, Motor Lublin over 1 is at 1.58, Raków over 1 is at 1.42. The 'Double Chance' option for Motor Lublin or a draw is at 1.54. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a Raków win, but the gap between the teams is not significant, as reflected in the percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Motor Lublin averaged 52.6% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides per game. Raków's averages are 46.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Motor Lublin's last three matches: 06.04.2026 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 1-1, 20.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1-0, 13.03.2026 Nieciecza - Motor Lublin 1-2. Raków's recent matches: 04.04.2026 Raków - Widzew Łódź 1-1, 22.03.2026 Legia Warsaw - Raków 1-1, 19.03.2026 Raków - Fiorentina 1-2. In their head-to-head on 05.10.2025, Raków defeated Motor Lublin 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Motor Lublin has an average total of 1.6 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.4. Raków's average total is 2.8, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Motor Lublin has 1 out of 5, Raków has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Motor Lublin had over 1.5 goals twice in five games, but none in the second half. Raków had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five games, but four times in the second half. For goal intervals: Motor Lublin most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), and concedes most often from the 16th to 30th minute (67%). Raków's most frequent scoring and conceding interval is the 76th-90th minute (38% and 50% respectively). Overall, both teams have the potential for a high-scoring second half, and Raków leans towards the over on totals. Considering Raków's 3 out of 5 over 2.5 goals, an average total of 2.8, and a tendency to score after the break, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Motor Lublin averages 3.2 corners per match, Raków 3.8. In the last five matches, Motor Lublin had over 9.5 corners twice, Raków three times. The market for corner totals closest to the average sum (7) is the 7.5 line. Over 7.5 corners is at 1.24, under 7.5 is at 3.34. There is also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 is at 1.83, under 9.5 is at 1.85. For the corner outcome, Motor Lublin is favored with odds of 1.93. Based on averages and frequency of hitting the mark, it makes sense to consider betting on over 9.5 corners, as both teams can earn corners and Raków has hit this mark in three of their last five matches.