Prediction for match NAC Breda — NEC Nijmegen, 17.01.2026

Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs NEC Nijmegen

In the upcoming Eredivisie match between NAC Breda and NEC Nijmegen on January 17, 2026, betting odds and probabilities suggest an advantage for NEC Nijmegen. A win for NEC Nijmegen is priced at 2.26, while a victory for NAC Breda is offered at 3.08, with a draw at 3.66. The probabilities are as follows: NAC Breda - 31.21%, draw - 26.26%, NEC Nijmegen - 42.53%. There are various options for total goals, but betting on under 3.25 goals is priced at 1.58, which stands out among the offered odds. The option for both teams to score: yes is at 1.49, and both teams to score: no is at 2.44, but given the teams' profiles, a bet on the under looks more favorable.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, NAC Breda has an average possession of 55.8%, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. NEC Nijmegen has higher averages: 57.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Recent matches for NAC Breda: January 10 - Groningen vs NAC Breda 0-0, December 20 - NAC Breda vs Telstar 0-1, December 14 - NAC Breda vs Utrecht 1-1. For NEC Nijmegen: December 20 - NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax 2-2, December 16 - AFC Amsterdam vs NEC Nijmegen 1-3, December 13 - Telstar vs NEC Nijmegen 2-2. In their last head-to-head on August 24, 2025, NEC Nijmegen defeated NAC Breda 3-0.

Goal Totals Statistics

For NAC Breda, in their last five matches, the average total goals per match is only 1.0, with the team scoring an average of 0.2 and conceding 0.8. NEC Nijmegen has an average total goals of 4.2, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.6. For matches with over 2.5 goals: NAC Breda has 0 out of 5, while NEC Nijmegen has 5 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, NAC Breda has 1 out of 5, while NEC Nijmegen has 4 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half, NAC Breda has 0 out of 5, while NEC Nijmegen has 4 out of 5. NAC Breda most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (100%), concedes in the same minutes (50%), and in the final minutes (76-90, 50%). NEC Nijmegen's goal distribution is even: 18% in each of the five 15-minute intervals from 0 to 75 minutes, and they concede most often in the final minutes (76-90, 36%). Despite NEC Nijmegen's high scoring, NAC Breda's extremely low attacking activity and lack of over 2.5 goals in their last five games make a bet on under 3.25 goals the most logical. The low average goals for NAC Breda and lack of second-half goals also support the under option.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, NAC Breda earns 7.6 corners per match, NEC Nijmegen - 6.2. In their last five games, both teams have had 3 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.63, under 9.5 at 2.11. In the corners outcome line, NAC Breda is the favorite with odds of 1.92. Based on the average corner statistics, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 total, as both teams consistently achieve a high combined total. Also noteworthy is that both teams regularly deliver many corners, confirmed by their averages and the frequency of over 9.5 totals.