Prediction for match Nacional — Benfica, 29.11.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match between Nacional and Benfica, scheduled for November 29, 2025, bookmakers are giving a significant advantage to Benfica. The odds for Benfica's victory are 1.37 with a 70.90% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 5.27 (18.43%), while a win for Nacional is at 9.10 (10.67%). Benfica is the clear favorite according to both percentages and odds, reflecting the difference in team levels at this point in the season.

Team Form

In the last five matches, Nacional has averaged 44.2% ball possession, received 2.8 yellow cards, committed 12.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides per game. Benfica's stats are higher in possession (55.4%) and lower in fouls (9.4), with 2.4 yellow cards and 1.8 offsides. Recent results for Nacional: November 9 Estrela - Nacional 1-1, November 1 Nacional - Famalicão 0-1, October 26 Estoril - Nacional 1-1. For Benfica: November 25 Ajax - Benfica 0-2, November 9 Benfica - Casa Pia 2-2, November 5 Bayer - Benfica 0-1. In their head-to-head on March 8, 2025, Benfica won 3-0, with the total over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Regarding total goals, Nacional had only 1 out of their last 5 matches go over 2.5 goals, while Benfica had 3 out of 5. Nacional's average goals per match is 2.2, while Benfica's is 3. In Nacional's last five games, the total over 2.5 goals occurred only once, with only 1 out of 5 halves going over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves. For Benfica, 1 out of 5 first halves and 3 out of 5 second halves went over 1.5 goals, highlighting the second half as more productive for this team. Nacional's most frequent goal-scoring period is 46-60 minutes (40%), while Benfica has two equal intervals: 16-30 and 46-60 minutes at 29% each. Nacional concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%), and Benfica between 61-75 minutes (44%). Based on this data, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems justified, considering Benfica's attacking power and the tendency for more goals in the second half.

Corner Total Analysis

For average corners in the last five matches, Nacional has 3.8, and Benfica has 6.2. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for both teams. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (10) is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.72, under 9.5 at 2.05. In the corner outcome segment, Benfica is favored with odds of 1.23. Considering the difference in corners and Benfica's activity, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as Benfica's advantage in the number of corners taken.