Prediction for match Nacional — Tondela

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Tondela, the main focus is on the betting odds: a win for Nacional is priced at 2.36, Tondela's victory is at 3.24, and a draw is at 3.34. In terms of probability percentages, Nacional has 41.07%, Tondela 29.91%, and a draw 29.02%. The odds and probabilities suggest a closely contested match, with Nacional having a slight edge. The match is scheduled for December 13, 2025.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Nacional's last three matches, they lost to Alverca 0-1 (07.12.2025), were defeated by Benfica 1-2 (29.11.2025), and drew with Estrela 1-1 (09.11.2025). In Tondela's last three games, they lost to Porto 0-2 (07.12.2025), beat Gil Vicente 1-0 (29.11.2025), and lost to Vitória Guimarães 0-1 (08.11.2025). Over the last five matches, Nacional has an average possession of 40.6%, with 3 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Tondela averages 37.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 24, 2025, Nacional lost to Tondela 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have not been prolific in terms of scoring in recent matches. Over the last five games, Nacional averages 1.8 goals per match, while Tondela averages 2.2. Both teams score 0.6 goals per game, with Nacional conceding 1.2 and Tondela 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Nacional has hit this mark in 1 out of 5, and Tondela in 2 out of 5. Considering over 2.5 goals, it has only occurred 3 times in the last 10 matches combined for these teams. By halves, Nacional has not seen over 1.5 goals in the first half (0 out of 5), and only once in the second half. Tondela has seen over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and once in the first half. Regarding goal intervals: Nacional most often scores between 46-60 minutes (40%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (60%). Tondela frequently scores in two intervals - 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (50% each), and concedes most often between 46-60 minutes (33%). Overall, both teams show restrained attacking play, and betting on under 2.5 goals seems a logical choice given the low scoring and frequent unders in main and halftime totals.

Corners in the Match

For the average number of corners over the last 5 matches, Nacional has 3.6, and Tondela 2.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 3 out of 5 for Nacional, and 2 out of 5 for Tondela. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (6.4) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is priced at 1.19, under 7.5 at 3.74. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 at 1.72, under 9.5 at 1.98. For corner outcomes, Nacional is the favorite with odds of 1.73. Considering both teams' moderate activity in corner kicks and the moderate frequency of higher totals, betting on over 7.5 corners seems the safest option, while the 9.5 line might suit those seeking higher odds.