Prediction for match Nancy — Le Mans

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In France's Ligue 2 on March 13, 2026, Nancy will face Le Mans. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Nancy is priced at 2.62, a draw at 3.15, and a win for Le Mans at 2.68. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Nancy's success - 35.60%, draw - 29.61%, Le Mans - 34.80%. There's no clear favorite according to the odds, with both teams being almost evenly matched, as the probability percentages also suggest. The options for total goals are: Over 2.5 is at 2.07, Under 2.5 at 1.73, both teams to score - yes at 1.78, no at 1.93. This indicates that bookmakers expect moderate scoring but do not rule out both teams finding the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Nancy played at home three times: a 0-3 loss to Montpellier, a 0-0 draw with Grenoble, and a 2-1 win over Troyes. They also had a 1-1 draw with Laval and a 1-2 loss to Red Star. During the same period, Le Mans defeated Annecy 3-0, drew 1-1 with Guingamp and Laval, lost 2-4 to Montpellier, and had a goalless draw with Red Star. In their head-to-head match on January 11, 2026, the teams played to a 0-0 draw. Additional statistics show Nancy's average possession over five games is 43.4%, while Le Mans has 52.2%. Nancy averages 1.6 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match, whereas Le Mans averages 3 warnings, 16.6 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. This reflects Le Mans' more aggressive style and Nancy's greater discipline. In a five-match series, Nancy averages 6.4 corners, while Le Mans averages 5.8.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last five matches, Nancy's games exceeded 2.5 goals three times, and Le Mans' games did so twice. Nancy's matches average 2.2 goals, while Le Mans averages 2.6. Nancy scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 1.4, whereas Le Mans scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2. By halves: Nancy had one instance of over 1.5 goals in the first half, Le Mans had two; in the second half, both teams had two instances of over 1.5. Goal intervals: Nancy most frequently scores in each of the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals - 20% each. Le Mans most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes - 33%. In terms of goals conceded: Nancy concedes half their goals late (76-90 minutes - 50%), Le Mans during the 46-60 minute period (50%). Given that both teams' average goals do not exceed 2.6, and the under 2.5 total is priced at 1.73, it's logical to expect a match with limited goals. Nancy's low scoring rate (0.8 goals per game) and Le Mans' not highly reliable defense, but not overly leaky either, make the under 2.5 total a reasonable bet, considering the balance of totals and averages.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Nancy earns 6.4 corners per match, while Le Mans earns 5.8. In the last 5 games, Nancy's matches exceeded 9.5 corners 5 times, Le Mans' matches did so 4 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (12.2) is 11.5, but it doesn't have a pair of outcomes. The next closest is the total of 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 2.87, under 10.5 at 1.36. There's also a line at 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.18, under 9.5 at 1.60. The option for over 9.5 corners looks interesting, given the frequency of occurrences for both teams. For the corner outcome, Nancy is the favorite with odds of 1.89. Overall, the corner statistics indicate high activity from both teams when taking set pieces, making bets on higher corner totals worth considering.