Prediction for match Nantes — Le Havre

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 1 on February 22, Nantes will face Le Havre. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Nantes is priced at 2.51, a win for Le Havre at 3.12, and a draw at 3.37. Looking at the probability percentages, Nantes has 39.23%, Le Havre 31.56%, and a draw is at 29.22%. These figures suggest an advantage for Nantes, but the difference between the teams isn't significant, as reflected in the odds for a draw.

Team Results and Statistics

Nantes lost their last three matches to Monaco 1-3, Lyon 0-1, and Lorient 1-2. In the same period, Le Havre defeated Toulouse 2-1, beat Strasbourg 2-1, and lost to Lens 0-1. Over a five-match series, Nantes has 50.8% possession, while Le Havre has 44.4%. The average number of yellow cards: Nantes - 2.8, Le Havre - 1.8. In terms of fouls, Nantes commits 13.2 per game, Le Havre - 11, and for offsides: Nantes - 2, Le Havre - 1. In their last head-to-head meeting on November 8, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Nantes has an average total of 3.2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.4. Le Havre's average total is 1.8, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Nantes has 4 out of 5 matches over, while Le Havre has 2 out of 5 over. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over, in the second half Nantes has 2 out of 5, Le Havre 1 out of 5. Nantes most frequently scores between the 16th-30th minutes (43%), while Le Havre scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each). In terms of goals conceded, Nantes is most vulnerable between the 16th-30th minutes (33%), and Le Havre between the 31st-45th minutes (67%). Overall, despite Nantes's high-scoring matches, their own attack seems weak, and Le Havre has been conceding few goals lately. Considering these factors, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems logical: Le Havre has an under-profile for totals, and Nantes struggles to convert chances.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over the last 5 matches, Nantes takes 3.4 corners, while Le Havre takes 4.8. For over 9.5 corners, Nantes has 1 out of 5, Le Havre 4 out of 5. The closest to the sum of averages is a total of 8.5, with two outcomes: over 8.5 at 1.53, under 8.5 at 2.33. For the outcome on corners, Nantes is the favorite with odds of 1.77. Based on the statistics, betting on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Le Havre's activity in this area. You could also consider betting on Nantes to win on corners, but the difference in averages is not critical.