Prediction for match Nantes — Lyon, 07.02.2026

Match Analysis: Nantes vs Lyon

In Ligue 1, on February 7, Nantes will face Lyon. The odds for a Lyon victory are 1.74, for a draw - 4.00, and for a Nantes win - 5.28. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Lyon - 56.67%, draw - 24.65%, Nantes - 18.68%. Lyon is considered the favorite based on both odds and probabilities, which is further confirmed by the statistics of recent encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Nantes lost to Lorient 1-2 (January 31), lost to Nice 1-4 (January 25), and lost to Paris FC 1-2 (January 18). In their last three matches, Lyon defeated Laval 2-0 (February 4), beat Lille 1-0 (February 1), and overcame PAOK 4-2 (January 29). In a five-match series, Nantes has an average possession of 48.8%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 15, offsides - 2.2. Lyon has possession - 57.2%, yellow cards - 1.4, fouls - 11.2, offsides - 2.4. In their last head-to-head on November 30, 2025, Lyon won against Nantes 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Nantes has an average of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. Lyon has an average total of 3.4, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.8. In terms of frequency of over 2.5 total goals, Nantes has 3 out of 5, Lyon has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 total goals occurred once for Nantes and twice for Lyon, while in the second half it happened 3 times for both teams. Nantes most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (40% each), while Lyon scores most often between the 76th-90th minutes (50%). Nantes concedes most frequently between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each), while Lyon concedes most between the 31st-45th minutes (38%). Combined, the goal and total statistics of both teams suggest a high likelihood of a goal-rich match. Lyon consistently scores more than two goals per game, while Nantes regularly concedes. Moreover, over 2.5 total goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches for Nantes and in 2 out of 5 for Lyon. Based on this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

The average number of corners for Nantes over 5 matches is 2.6, and for Lyon - 4. In terms of the frequency of over 9.5 total corners, Nantes never recorded a pass, while Lyon did so 2 times out of 5. For a total of 6.5 corners, there are odds for both over and under: over 6.5 corners - 1.08, under 6.5 - 7.40. Also for a total of 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.49, under 8.5 - 2.38. The closest to the sum of average corners (6.6) is the total of 6.5, but the odds for under are too high, so the optimal choice seems to be over 8.5 corners. Lyon is the favorite in terms of corner outcomes with odds of 1.56. Overall, the corner statistics indicate moderate activity from both teams, but Lyon delivers noticeably more corners, which could impact the final numbers in this component.