Tips for match Nantes — Metz, 02.11.2025

Match Analysis: Nantes vs Metz

On November 2nd, in the French Ligue 1, Nantes will face Metz. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.00 for a Nantes win, 3.50 for a draw, and 3.75 for a Metz victory. The implied probabilities are as follows: Nantes win 47.51%, draw 27.15%, Metz win 25.34%. Nantes is the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't significant, and a draw is also highly rated. These odds suggest a competitive match where the outcome is not predetermined.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the five-match series statistics, Nantes has 44% possession, with an average of 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1 offside. Metz has higher possession at 47.8%, 1.6 yellow cards, the same number of fouls - 12.4, and slightly fewer offsides - 0.8. In Nantes' last three matches, the results were: 29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3-5, 24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1-2, 19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0-2. Metz played as follows: 29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2-0, 26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6-1, 19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on 03.03.2024: Nantes - Metz 0-2, with under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown quite high scoring in their last five matches: Nantes averages 3.4 goals per game, Metz 3.2. In the last five matches, over 2.5 goals were scored 3 times out of 5 for both teams. By halves, Nantes had over 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves, while Metz had 2 out of 5 in the first half but 4 out of 5 in the second half. Nantes scores evenly across all intervals, with 17% in each of the six segments, while Metz most often scores in the 76-90 minute interval (50%). In terms of conceding, Nantes is vulnerable early (27% in the first 15 minutes and the same in the 31-45 interval), while Metz most often concedes late (76-90 minutes, 50%). Considering this data and the relatively high average scoring, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems justified.

Betting on Corners

Nantes averages 3 corners per match, while Metz averages 3.8. In Nantes' last five matches, over 9.5 corners were achieved 3 times, and for Metz, it was 2 times. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.73, and for under, it's 2.00. Nantes is favored for corners with odds of 1.62. Based on this data, bets on total corners close to 9-10 seem most logical, and Metz's slight advantage in corners might be compensated by Nantes' attacking factor.