Prediction for match Napoli — Atalanta, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Napoli vs Atalanta

On November 22, in the Italian Serie A, Napoli will face Atalanta. The odds for a Napoli win are 2.30, a draw is at 3.36, and an Atalanta victory stands at 3.53. According to probability percentages, Napoli's win is estimated at 42.81%, a draw at 29.30%, and Atalanta's win at 27.89%. Napoli is favored by the odds, but the margin is relatively modest, reflecting analysts' moderate confidence in the hosts' success. In the double chance line, the 1X option is at 1.35, while X2 is at 1.69.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli maintains 54.2% ball possession, records 2.2 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and 0.4 offsides per game. Atalanta's averages are: 59.2% possession, 1.4 cautions, 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Napoli's last three matches: Bologna 2-0 Napoli on November 9, Napoli 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt on November 4, Como 0-0 Napoli on November 1. Atalanta: Atalanta 0-3 Sassuolo on November 9, Marseille 0-1 Atalanta on November 5, Udinese 1-0 Atalanta on November 1. In the head-to-head meeting on January 18, 2025, Atalanta vs Napoli ended 2-3, with over 2.5 goals.

Totals Statistics

In Napoli's last five games, over 2.5 goals occurred only once, with under 2.5 happening four times. Atalanta shows a similar pattern: 1 out of 5 over, 4 under. In the first half, Napoli had 0 out of 5 over 1.5, while Atalanta had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Napoli had 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Atalanta 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Napoli's matches over 5 games is 1.4, and for Atalanta, it's 1.8. In terms of scoring: Napoli scored 0.8 and conceded 0.6; Atalanta scored 0.6 and conceded 1.2. By time segments: Napoli most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (50%) and concedes evenly in three segments: 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (33% each). Atalanta scores most often at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 67%) and concedes in two segments: 0-15 and 76-90 (29% each). Given the low average scoring of both teams and frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical.

Corner Statistics

Napoli averages 3.8 corners per match, while Atalanta has 6. In the last five games, Napoli did not surpass the 9.5 corners total, while Atalanta did so in 2 out of 5. The odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.53, under 8.5 is 1.77. In the corners outcome line, Napoli is favored with odds of 1.72. Considering the number of corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, given Atalanta's high and Napoli's moderate figures. Individual corner totals could also be considered, as both teams generate a fair number of set pieces.