Prediction for match Napoli — Cagliari, 03.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Coppa Italia match between Napoli and Cagliari, scheduled for December 3, 2025, the odds clearly favor Napoli. The odds for a Napoli win are 1.45, a draw is at 4.45, and a Cagliari victory is at 8.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Napoli - 67.09%, draw - 21.86%, Cagliari - 11.05%. This setup reflects confidence in Napoli's strength compared to Cagliari. Additionally, the markets for total goals and both teams to score also lean towards a low-scoring game, as confirmed by the statistics from the teams' recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Napoli has an average possession percentage of 53.4, with the team recording 2.2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Cagliari, over the same period, shows 42.6 possession, 3.2 yellows, 18.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides on average. Napoli's last three matches: 30.11.2025 - Roma vs Napoli 0-1, 25.11.2025 - Napoli vs Qarabag 2-0, 22.11.2025 - Napoli vs Atalanta 3-1. Cagliari's last three matches: 29.11.2025 - Juventus vs Cagliari 2-1, 22.11.2025 - Cagliari vs Genoa 3-3, 08.11.2025 - Como vs Cagliari 0-0. In their head-to-head on 30.08.2025, Napoli was stronger than Cagliari with a 1-0 scoreline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Napoli averages a total of 1.8 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.6 per game. Cagliari's average total is 2.8, with the team scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Napoli had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Cagliari had 3 out of 5. By halves, Napoli had 1 out of 5 go over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Cagliari had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. By time intervals, Napoli most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (38%), while Cagliari scores most between the 31st and 45th minute (38%). Napoli concedes most often in two intervals - between the 31st and 45th and the 46th and 60th minute (50% each). Cagliari concedes most frequently between the 16th and 30th minute (33%). These data suggest that Napoli is solid defensively, while Cagliari lacks consistent scoring. The bet on both teams to score: no is at 1.55 and seems logical, considering Napoli's low goals conceded and Cagliari's unimpressive attack in recent matches.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Regarding corners, Napoli averages 4.4 over 5 matches, and Cagliari 4.0. In the last five matches, Napoli had only 1 out of 5 games with a total over 9.5 corners, while Cagliari had 3 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.54, under 8.5 is at 2.25. For the outcome on corners, Napoli is the favorite with odds of 1.20. Given the average and frequency data, a bet on total corners over 8.5 seems justified, especially if Cagliari will be forced to defend more and concede initiative to Napoli. Individual corner stats for both teams can also be considered, but the main focus is on the total.