Prediction for match Napoli — Fiorentina, 31.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Serie A on January 31, Napoli will face Fiorentina. Bookmakers give Napoli a 54.07% chance of winning with odds at 1.82, making them the favorites. A draw is set at odds of 3.64 with a 27.04% probability, while a Fiorentina win is at 5.21, corresponding to 18.89%. The over 2.5 goals total is offered at 2.09, and under 2.5 is at 1.86. Both teams to score odds are: yes - 1.88, no - 1.84, indicating close chances for goals at both ends. Individual team goals: Napoli over 1.5 is at 1.92, Fiorentina over 0.5 is at 1.59. Double chance options: 1X - 1.20, X2 - 2.10, 12 - 1.33. This highlights Napoli as the more stable team based on recent performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli has an average possession of 59.2%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Fiorentina holds the ball 51% of the time, receives 2.2 yellows, commits 12 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. Recent matches for Napoli: 28.01.2026 - Napoli vs Chelsea 2-3, 25.01.2026 - Juventus vs Napoli 3-0, 20.01.2026 - Copenhagen vs Napoli 1-1. Fiorentina's recent games: 27.01.2026 - Fiorentina vs Como 1-3, 24.01.2026 - Fiorentina vs Cagliari 1-2, 18.01.2026 - Bologna vs Fiorentina 1-2. The last encounter was on 13.09.2025 - Fiorentina vs Napoli 1-3. It's noteworthy that both teams have faced strong opponents recently, with Napoli regularly playing against top-5 clubs. Both teams show similar discipline in fouls, but Fiorentina has slightly more yellow cards. Fiorentina's advantage in offsides suggests a more aggressive attacking line.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Napoli has an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. Fiorentina's average is higher at 3.2, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Napoli has 2 out of 5, Fiorentina has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Napoli 1 out of 5 times, Fiorentina 2 out of 5. In the second half, Napoli has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, Fiorentina 4 out of 5. Goal timing: Napoli frequently scores in 31-45 (25%), 61-75 (25%), and 76-90 (25%) intervals, conceding evenly in four intervals - 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, 76-90 (25% each). Fiorentina scores most often in 61-75 (33%) and 76-90 (33%) intervals, conceding in 46-60 (30%) and 76-90 (30%). These stats indicate both teams' tendency for productive second halves. Fiorentina shows a strong goal profile, while Napoli's scoring remains modest. Considering Fiorentina's 4 out of 5 for over 2.5 goals, and Napoli's 2 out of 5, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.09 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Napoli averages 5.8 corners per match, Fiorentina 4. In their last five matches, the over 9.5 corners total occurred for Napoli 1 out of 5 times, Fiorentina 3 out of 5. The closest average total is 9.5, with odds for over 9.5 corners at 2.09, under 9.5 at 1.66. Napoli is favored in corners with odds at 1.32. Given both teams average around 10 corners combined, betting on over 9.5 corners could interest stats market enthusiasts. Napoli regularly delivers over 5, while Fiorentina maintains around 4, indicating their flank activity. Fiorentina's recent matches often exceeded 9.5 corners, adding confidence to the over corners bet.