Prediction for match Napoli — Sassuolo

Odds and Probability Percentages

In Serie A on January 17, Napoli will face Sassuolo. The odds for the match clearly favor Napoli as the favorite: Napoli's victory is priced at 1.49, a draw at 4.43, and Sassuolo's win at 8.25. In terms of probability percentages, Napoli has a 65.92% chance of winning, a draw is at 22.17%, and Sassuolo's chances are at 11.91%. This highlights Napoli's significant advantage, which is also supported by recent match statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Napoli has an average ball possession of 61.2%, with 1 yellow card, 10 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Sassuolo, over the same period, holds the ball 45.6% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Napoli drew 0-0 with Parma (14.01.2026), 2-2 with Inter (11.01.2026), and 2-2 with Verona (07.01.2026). Sassuolo lost 0-2 to Roma (10.01.2026), 0-3 to Juventus (06.01.2026), and drew 1-1 with Parma (03.01.2026). In their head-to-head match on August 23, 2025, Sassuolo lost 0-2 to Napoli.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Napoli has an average of 2.4 goals per game, while Sassuolo has 2. Napoli scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8, Sassuolo scores 0.4 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 total goals: Napoli has 2 out of 5 matches over, Sassuolo has 1 out of 5. In the first half, Napoli had over 1.5 total goals in 4 out of 5 matches, Sassuolo only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Napoli had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Sassuolo 3 out of 5. For goal intervals: Napoli most frequently scores in four different periods - 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90, with 25% in each. Sassuolo most frequently scores in the 76-90 interval (50%). In terms of conceding: Napoli most often concedes in the 16-30 interval (38%), Sassuolo in the 61-75 interval (67%). Considering Sassuolo's low scoring and Napoli's solid defense, a bet on both teams to score: no at 1.63 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Napoli averages 6 corners per game, Sassuolo 3.2. For over 9.5 corners: Napoli has 1 out of 5, Sassuolo has 2 out of 5. Among the available totals, the closest to the average corners (9.2) is the 9.5 total, with odds of: over 9.5 corners - 2.10, under 9.5 - 1.69. In the corner outcome, Napoli is favored with odds of 1.16. With these figures, it makes sense to consider a bet on Napoli's individual corners over 5.5 or a total over 8.5, given Napoli's attacking style and their high numbers of flank deliveries.