Prediction for match NEC Nijmegen — Groningen, 09.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen match?

The match between NEC Nijmegen and Groningen will take place on November 9, 2025, as part of the Eredivisie. The main odds for an NEC Nijmegen victory are 1.95, a draw is at 3.80, and a win for Groningen is at 3.60. NEC Nijmegen is the favorite with a 48.67% chance, while a draw stands at 24.97%, and Groningen's chances of winning are estimated at 26.36%. The balance is tilted towards the home side, but Groningen also has its arguments.

Team results and statistics

Average ball possession over the last five matches: NEC Nijmegen 58%, Groningen 49.2%. Fouls over 5 matches: NEC Nijmegen 14.2, Groningen 9.6. NEC Nijmegen also records 2.4 offsides and 2.4 yellow cards, Groningen 2 offsides and 1.4 yellows. Last 3 matches for NEC Nijmegen: 02.11.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 1-0, 30.10.2025 Rijnsburgse Boys - NEC Nijmegen 2-3, 25.10.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 2-2. For Groningen in the same period: 02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1-1, 30.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5-2, 25.10.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 1-2. The last head-to-head on 19.07.2025 ended Groningen 1-2 NEC Nijmegen, with the total over 2.5 goals being surpassed.

Goals by match statistics

In the last 5 matches, both teams hit over 2.5 goals three times. NEC Nijmegen went over 2.5 in 3 out of 5, and so did Groningen. The first half was productive for NEC Nijmegen in 3 out of 5 cases (over 1.5 goals), while Groningen only once out of 5. In the second half, NEC Nijmegen went over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Groningen in 4 out of 5. On average, NEC Nijmegen scores and concedes 1.8 goals, Groningen scores 1.4 and concedes 2. The average total for NEC Nijmegen matches is 3.6, for Groningen 3.4. NEC Nijmegen frequently scores between the 31-45 minute mark (33%), while Groningen scores between 46-60 (38%). NEC Nijmegen concedes more often between 16-30 minutes (30%), Groningen in the first 15 minutes (33%). With such dynamics and scoring averages, it is logical to expect the bet on over 2.5 goals to succeed, confirmed by both streaks and half-time frequencies.

Corners in the match

There's a noticeable difference in corners: NEC Nijmegen averages 3 over 5 matches, Groningen 6.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for NEC Nijmegen is 1 out of 5, for Groningen 5 out of 5. Odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.83, under 9.5 is also at 1.83. The favorite for corners is NEC Nijmegen with odds of 1.62. A logical bet would be on Groningen's individual total corners over 3.5, considering the averages and frequency of occurrence.