Prediction for match NEC Nijmegen — Zwolle, 24.01.2026

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Zwolle

In the upcoming Eredivisie round on January 24, NEC Nijmegen will face Zwolle. NEC Nijmegen is favored with odds of 1.49 for a win, a draw is at 4.84, while a victory for Zwolle is at 6.17. In terms of probability: NEC Nijmegen - 64.54%, draw - 19.87%, Zwolle - 15.59%. This setup reflects analysts' confidence in NEC Nijmegen's advantage, which is also supported by recent match statistics. Additionally, the odds for total goals and both teams to score indicate a high likelihood of a high-scoring game, which is typical for both teams this season.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen has an average possession of 60%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Zwolle, over the same period, shows 42.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Recent matches for NEC Nijmegen: 20.01.2026 De Treffers - NEC Nijmegen 1-2, 17.01.2026 NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen 3-4, 20.12.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 2-2. For Zwolle: 17.01.2026 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 3-1, 10.01.2026 Twente - Zwolle 1-1, 20.12.2025 Excelsior - Zwolle 2-1. In their head-to-head meeting on 25.10.2025, Zwolle and NEC Nijmegen drew 2-2, further confirming the goal-scoring potential of this matchup.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, NEC Nijmegen's games have seen over 2.5 goals 5 times out of 5, while Zwolle has seen this 3 times out of 5. On average, NEC Nijmegen scores 2.6 and concedes 1.8 goals per game, while Zwolle scores 1.4 and concedes 2. The total average goals in NEC Nijmegen's matches is 4.4, and for Zwolle, it's 3.4. Per halves, NEC Nijmegen had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games in the first half and the same in the second half. Zwolle had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. The most frequent goal interval for NEC Nijmegen is 46-60 minutes (30%), and for Zwolle, it's 76-90 minutes (31%). Conceding-wise, NEC Nijmegen often concedes late (76-90, 31%), while Zwolle concedes most in the 61-75 minute interval (50%). These stats suggest a high probability of both teams scoring. The odds for both teams to score are at 1.53, which seems logical given these numbers. Both teams regularly score and concede, especially in the second half, and their average total goals support a bet on a high-scoring match.

Corner Totals Analysis

NEC Nijmegen averages 5 corners in their last 5 games, while Zwolle averages 2.4. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners is 2 out of 5 for NEC Nijmegen and 3 out of 5 for Zwolle. The closest average total is 7.5, with odds of over 7.5 corners at 1.16 and under 7.5 at 4.05. You can also consider over 9.5 at 1.63 and under 9.5 at 2.11. NEC Nijmegen is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.16. Based on the statistics, it's reasonable to expect NEC Nijmegen to be more active in corner kicks, and the total corners could fall in the 8-10 range. Meanwhile, Zwolle averages fewer corners, as confirmed by their recent series.