Prediction for match NEC Nijmegen — PSV Eindhoven

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the KNVB Cup on March 3, NEC Nijmegen will face PSV Eindhoven. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a PSV win is priced at 1.75, NEC Nijmegen's victory is at 3.87, and a draw is at 4.20. The probability percentages for these outcomes are: 53.51% for PSV, 24.20% for NEC Nijmegen, and 22.30% for a draw. The betting lines also include options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but the main odds clearly favor PSV.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, NEC Nijmegen played as follows: 28.02.2026 - NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard - 2-3, 21.02.2026 - Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen - 1-1, 17.02.2026 - Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen - 1-1. PSV's last three matches were: 28.02.2026 - Heracles vs PSV - 1-3, 21.02.2026 - PSV vs Heerenveen - 3-1, 13.02.2026 - Volendam vs PSV - 2-1. Over the last five matches, NEC Nijmegen averaged 64.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. PSV averaged 63.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Their last head-to-head meeting was on 13.09.2025, with PSV winning 5-3.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match NEC Nijmegen - PSV

Both teams have shown high scoring ability over the last five matches: NEC Nijmegen has an average total of 3.6 goals per match, PSV has 3.8. NEC Nijmegen scores and concedes 1.8 per game, while PSV scores 2.6 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, NEC Nijmegen had 3 out of 5 matches, PSV had 5 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for each team in 5 games, and in the second half, it happened 4 times for both. NEC Nijmegen most frequently scores between 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (22% each), while PSV scores most often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each). NEC Nijmegen is most vulnerable in the 46-60 minute period (33%), and PSV in the 76-90 minute period (38%). All this suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, with PSV looking more reliable in defense and threatening in attack. Considering the statistics and class difference, betting on PSV's victory seems most justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average over five matches, NEC Nijmegen wins 6 corners, and PSV wins 8. In three of the last five matches, both teams exceeded the total corner line of 9.5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of the averages is 13.5: over 13.5 corners is priced at 2.85, under 13.5 at 1.38. Based on this statistic, it makes sense to consider the over 13.5 corners option, given both teams' activity in this aspect. PSV regularly takes more than 7 corners per match, and NEC Nijmegen consistently holds above 5, increasing the chances of a high corner total.