Prediction for match NEC Nijmegen — Utrecht, 11.02.2026

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs Utrecht

On January 9th, NEC Nijmegen will face Utrecht in the Eredivisie. The odds for an NEC Nijmegen victory are 2.06, a draw is 3.93, and a win for Utrecht is 3.32. The probabilities are as follows: NEC Nijmegen 46.63%, draw 24.44%, Utrecht 28.93%. This makes NEC Nijmegen the favorite according to the odds and percentages, although the gap isn't significant. The over 2.75 goals line is at 1.54, while under 3.25 is at 1.77, indicating expectations for a high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.43, no at 2.63, also suggesting a high likelihood of goals from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, NEC Nijmegen has an average possession of 57.6%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Utrecht, in the same period, holds possession 46.6% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times. In their last three games, NEC Nijmegen drew 2-2 with Ajax (20.12.2025), defeated AFC Amsterdam 3-1 (16.12.2025), and drew 2-2 with Telstar (13.12.2025). Utrecht lost 1-2 to PSV (21.12.2025), won 2-0 against TOP Oss (17.12.2025), and drew 1-1 with NAC Breda (14.12.2025). In their last head-to-head meeting on November 2, 2025, Utrecht defeated NEC Nijmegen 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, NEC Nijmegen's over 2.5 goals line was successful 5 out of 5 times, while Utrecht's was successful 2 out of 5 times. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, NEC Nijmegen achieved it 4 out of 5 times, while Utrecht only once. In the second half, over 1.5 goals occurred 4 times for NEC Nijmegen and 3 times for Utrecht. The average number of goals in NEC Nijmegen's matches is 4.2, while for Utrecht it's 2.4. In terms of goals scored, NEC Nijmegen averages 2.6, Utrecht 1.2. In terms of goals conceded, NEC Nijmegen 1.6, Utrecht 1.2. NEC Nijmegen most frequently scores in five different intervals at 18%, while Utrecht scores most in the 16-75 minute range at 25%. Both teams are most vulnerable in the final minutes: NEC Nijmegen concedes 36% of goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, Utrecht 50% in the same period. Given NEC Nijmegen's consistent over-profile and Utrecht's not-so-reliable defense, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.54 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over 5 matches, NEC Nijmegen takes 6.2 corners, Utrecht 6.4. In the last five encounters, the over 9.5 corners line was successful 3 times for NEC Nijmegen and 5 times for Utrecht. For the corners total line: over 12.5 is at 2.61, under 12.5 is at 1.45. With an average corners sum of 12.6, betting on over 12.5 could be interesting, but the odds for under 12.5 are significantly lower. Utrecht is favored in the corners outcome with odds of 2.22. Considering both teams' activity in taking corners, a double-digit number of corners and competition for set pieces is expected.