Prediction for match Necaxa — Atlas

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Necaxa and Atlas in Liga MX is scheduled for January 17, 2026. According to the bookmakers, Necaxa is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.60, a draw at 4.05, and a win for Atlas at 4.95. In terms of outcome probabilities, Necaxa has 58.20%, a draw has 22.99%, and Atlas has 18.81%. This setup confirms Necaxa's advantage going into this match. Double chance options are: 1X at 1.14, 12 at 1.21, and X2 at 2.25. The "Both Teams to Score: Yes" option is at 1.63, "No" at 2.14. For total goals: over 2.5 is at 1.55, under 2.5 is at 2.17. These odds reflect expectations of a high-scoring game with Necaxa favored.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the five-match series, Necaxa has an average possession of 53.4%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 16.8, offsides - 1.2. Atlas has possession - 44.4%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 11, offsides - 1.6. In the last three matches, Necaxa played as follows: 14.01.2026 - Necaxa vs Monterrey - 0-2, 11.01.2026 - Santos Laguna vs Necaxa - 1-3, 08.11.2025 - Mazatlán vs Necaxa - 1-1. Atlas's last three matches were: 14.01.2026 - Cruz Azul vs Atlas - 2-0, 10.01.2026 - Atlas vs Puebla - 1-0, 08.11.2025 - Tijuana vs Atlas - 2-0. The last head-to-head match was on 27.09.2025 - Atlas vs Necaxa - 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

From the last five matches, Necaxa has an average of 4 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per match. Atlas averages 2 goals, with 0.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Necaxa has 3 out of 5, Atlas has 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Necaxa has 3 out of 5, Atlas has 2 out of 5. For the second half over 1.5: both teams have 2 out of 5. Necaxa scores most frequently in the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals - 22% each. Atlas scores most often in the first 30 minutes - 33% in the 0-15 and 16-30 intervals. In terms of goals conceded, Necaxa stands out in the 0-15 and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), while Atlas is notable in the 61-75 minute interval (100%). Given Necaxa's high scoring and Atlas's weak attack, along with Necaxa's over 2.5 goal trend, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.55 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For the average number of corners over five matches, Necaxa has 8.2, Atlas has 2.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Necaxa has 4 out of 5, Atlas has 1 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, there is: over 9.5 at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.08. Based on average figures, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. In terms of corner outcomes, Necaxa is the favorite with odds of 1.39. In the last five matches, Necaxa consistently delivers many corners, as confirmed by both the average value and the frequency of over 9.5 totals. Atlas lags significantly in this component, as reflected in the statistics.