Prediction for match Necaxa — Cruz Azul, 22.10.2025

Match Analysis: Necaxa vs Cruz Azul

In the Liga MX clash on October 22, Necaxa will face Cruz Azul. According to the 1X2 odds, Cruz Azul is the favorite with odds of 2.05, translating to a 46.08% chance of winning. Necaxa's victory stands at 3.25 (29.06%), while a draw is priced at 3.80 with a probability of 24.86%. These odds suggest Cruz Azul has the edge, but the gap isn't substantial, making every moment of the match crucial for both teams.

Team Performance and Statistics

Looking at the last five matches, Necaxa scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 2.4, with a total of 3.8 goals per game. Cruz Azul, in the same period, scores 1.6 and concedes 1.6, with an average total of 3.2 goals. Necaxa averages 4.4 corners per game, while Cruz Azul averages 5.0, with ball possession at 51.8% versus 59.8%. Recently, Necaxa lost to Tigres UANL 3-5 (18.10.2025), while Cruz Azul beat Club América 2-1 (19.10.2025). In head-to-head encounters over the past two years, the teams have met five times: in January 2025, Cruz Azul won 3-1, and in October 2024, they also won 3-0. Cruz Azul has three wins in this series, while Necaxa has two.

Goals Expectation

In terms of totals over the last five games, both teams have played over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. The average goals suggest an attacking style: Necaxa averages 3.8, while Cruz Azul averages 3.2 goals per game. In the first half, both teams have seen over 1.5 goals three times out of five, while in the second half, Necaxa achieved this three times, and Cruz Azul only once. As for goal intervals: Necaxa often scores between the 31-45 minute mark (42%), and Cruz Azul also in this period (30%). Necaxa concedes most frequently in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Cruz Azul's most vulnerable periods are 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each). This suggests a potentially high-scoring first half, with both teams capable of scoring and conceding before halftime.

Corners in the Match

Necaxa averages 4.4 corners, while Cruz Azul averages 5.0 per match. In the last 5 games, Necaxa recorded over 9.5 total corners four times, while Cruz Azul did so twice. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.85. In the corners competition, Cruz Azul is favored with odds of 1.91.