Prediction for match Necaxa — Monterrey

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX, Necaxa and Monterrey are set to face off on January 14, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Necaxa is priced at 2.48, Monterrey at 2.56, and a draw at 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: a Necaxa win - 37.35%, a Monterrey win - 36.18%, and a draw is estimated at 26.47%. The odds and percentages suggest a closely contested match, but recent statistics highlight Necaxa as the more prolific team. The over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.59, reflecting expectations for a high-scoring encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Necaxa has an average possession of 51%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 16.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times per game. Monterrey averages 52% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Necaxa played as follows: January 11 - Santos Laguna vs Necaxa 1-3, November 8 - Mazatlan vs Necaxa 1-1, November 1 - Necaxa vs Santos Laguna 4-1. Monterrey's last three matches: January 11 - Monterrey vs Toluca 0-1, December 7 - Toluca vs Monterrey 3-2, December 4 - Monterrey vs Toluca 1-0. In their head-to-head on August 24, 2025, Monterrey defeated Necaxa 3-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Necaxa vs Monterrey Match

Based on average scoring over 5 matches, Necaxa scores 4 goals per game, while Monterrey scores 2.4. Necaxa scores 2.6 and concedes 1.4, Monterrey scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Necaxa has 3 out of 5, Monterrey has 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Necaxa and 1 time for Monterrey, while in the second half, both teams played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5. Necaxa most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 minute intervals - 20% each, and concedes most often at the end: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes - 27% each. Monterrey scores most frequently in the 31-45 minute interval (33%), and concedes between 46 and 60 minutes (50%). Given Necaxa's high scoring, regular over 2.5 goals, and both teams' second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In terms of average corners over 5 matches, Necaxa takes 6.6, Monterrey 2.4. For over 9.5 corners, Necaxa has 3 out of 5, Monterrey has 1 out of 5. There is a line for total corners at 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.77, under 9.5 - 1.92. Necaxa is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.71. Considering Necaxa consistently takes many corners and Monterrey rarely exceeds 3-4, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified. You might also consider a bet on Necaxa to win the corner count.