Prediction for match Netherlands — Lithuania

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the World Cup qualification match between the Netherlands and Lithuania, scheduled for November 17, 2025, the odds for a Netherlands victory are minimal at 1.03, reflecting an almost maximum probability of their success (92.11%). A draw is offered at 17.00, with a probability of 5.58%. Lithuania's victory is priced at 41.00, with a probability of just 2.31%. This distribution of odds indicates a clear dominance by the Netherlands, who have shown high scoring ability and confidence in their attacking play in recent matches. Lithuania, on the other hand, lags behind in most key statistical categories, further widening the gap in chances of victory.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, the Netherlands have shown a high ball possession rate of 67.8%, committing an average of 9.8 fouls, receiving 0.6 yellow cards, and being caught offside 2.2 times per game. Lithuania's possession stands at 45.25%, with 16 fouls, 2.5 yellow cards, and 1.25 offsides. The Netherlands' last three matches resulted in: November 14 - Poland 1-1 Netherlands, October 12 - Netherlands 4-0 Finland, October 9 - Malta 0-4 Netherlands. Lithuania played Israel to a 0-0 draw on November 13, lost 0-2 to Poland on October 12, and lost 1-2 to Finland on October 9. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams was on September 7, with Lithuania losing 2-3 to the Netherlands, with a total over 2.5 goals. Overall, the statistics show a significant advantage for the Netherlands in most playing parameters, including possession, discipline, and ball control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, the Netherlands have averaged 3.4 goals per match, with 2.6 scored and only 0.8 conceded. Lithuania, in the same period, have averaged 1 goal scored and 2 conceded, with a total of 3. The Netherlands have had a total over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 games, while Lithuania have had it in 2 out of 5. In the first halves, the Netherlands have seen a total over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, while Lithuania have seen it 1 out of 5 times. In the second halves, the Netherlands have seen it 1 out of 5 times, while Lithuania have seen it 2 out of 5 times. The Netherlands most frequently score between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Lithuania score either in the same interval (40%) or immediately after the break (46th-60th, also 40%). In terms of goals conceded, the Netherlands are most vulnerable between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while Lithuania are most vulnerable at the start (0-15, 29%) and in the third quarter (61-75, 29%). Given the difference in attacking potential and frequent totals over 2.5 in the Netherlands' matches, the most logical choice is a bet on a total over 3.5 at 1.57. This option is supported by the Netherlands' high scoring ability and Lithuania's regular defensive lapses.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, the Netherlands have averaged 7 per game over the last five matches, while Lithuania have averaged 2.5. The Netherlands have hit a total over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches, while Lithuania have done so in only 1 out of 5. The line offers a total over 8.5 corners at 1.73 and under 9 at 1.82, as well as over 9 at 1.98 and under 8.5 at 2.00. The Netherlands are favored to win the corner count at 1.06. Based on the statistics, it's reasonable to consider a bet on a total over 8.5 corners, given the Netherlands' high attacking activity and frequent pressure on the opponent's goal. Meanwhile, Lithuania rarely reaches high corner numbers, which may limit the overall count, but the Netherlands' dominance could ensure the necessary number of set pieces.