Prediction for match Newcastle Jets — Wellington Phoenix

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcomes

In the A-League match between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix on January 23, 2026, bookmakers have marked Newcastle Jets as the favorites with odds of 1.66 for their victory. Wellington Phoenix's win is priced at 4.55, while a draw is at 4.70. In terms of probability, Newcastle Jets have a 58.21% chance of winning, a draw is at 20.56%, and Wellington Phoenix at 21.24%. Both teams have been scoring frequently in recent matches, which is reflected in the odds for the total goals. Given the attacking profiles of both sides, bookmakers have high expectations for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle Jets have shown good ball possession (45.6%), averaging 2.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Wellington Phoenix, over the same period, have 43% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 8.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Newcastle Jets' last three matches: 17.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Newcastle Jets 1-2, 11.01.2026 Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets 0-1, 01.01.2026 Auckland - Newcastle Jets 1-3. Wellington Phoenix's recent games: 18.01.2026 Sydney - Wellington Phoenix 0-2, 11.01.2026 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 2-2, 03.01.2026 Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix 0-3. In their last head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Wellington Phoenix lost to Newcastle Jets 1-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix

Both teams have been prolific over the last 5 games: Newcastle Jets have an average of 3.8 total goals per match, and Wellington Phoenix the same 3.8. Newcastle Jets score an average of 2.4 goals, conceding 1.4, while Wellington Phoenix score 2.2 and concede 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Newcastle Jets have 3 out of 5 matches over, Wellington Phoenix 4 out of 5 over. By halves, Newcastle Jets have 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 2 out of 5 in the second. Wellington Phoenix have 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, 4 out of 5 in the second. Newcastle Jets most frequently score between the 76th and 90th minute (38%), while Wellington Phoenix do so between the 46th and 60th minute (50%). For conceded goals, Newcastle Jets are most vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (27%), while Wellington Phoenix have three intervals at 22%: 0-15, 16-30, and 31-45. The overall goal statistics and frequency of over totals suggest that the match is likely to be high-scoring, especially considering the attacking nature of both teams. The most logical bet appears to be on over 3.5 goals at 1.92.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Newcastle Jets take 5.2 corners per match, Wellington Phoenix 3.4. In the last 5 games, Newcastle Jets had over 9.5 corners 4 times, Wellington Phoenix 2 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.41, under 9.5 at 2.56. In terms of corners, Newcastle Jets are favorites with odds of 1.47. Considering both teams' statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, with Newcastle Jets often outperforming their opponents in this aspect.