Prediction for match Newcastle — Aston Villa, 25.01.2026

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

On January 25th, in the English Premier League, Newcastle will face Aston Villa. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Newcastle is at 2.05, a draw is offered at 3.81, and an Aston Villa win is at 3.76. Probability-wise: Newcastle 48.00%, draw 25.83%, Aston Villa 26.17%. Newcastle is the favorite, but the difference in chances isn't too big, indicating a potential battle throughout the match. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.71, and for both teams to score - yes - is 1.55, suggesting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Newcastle has an average possession of 57.6% over the last five matches, while Aston Villa has 58.4%. Newcastle averages 2.4 yellow cards, 8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides, whereas Aston Villa averages 1.8 yellows, 10.6 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last five matches, Newcastle played as follows: 21.01.2026 - Newcastle vs PSV - 3-0, 18.01.2026 - Wolverhampton vs Newcastle - 0-0, 13.01.2026 - Newcastle vs Manchester City - 0-2. Aston Villa's last three matches were: 22.01.2026 - Fenerbahce vs Aston Villa - 0-1, 18.01.2026 - Aston Villa vs Everton - 0-1, 10.01.2026 - Tottenham vs Aston Villa - 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 16.08.2025, Aston Villa and Newcastle drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Newcastle has an average of 3.6 goals per match, while Aston Villa averages 1.8. Newcastle scores 2 goals per game and concedes 1.6, whereas Aston Villa scores 1.2 and concedes 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Newcastle had 3 out of 5, Aston Villa 2 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Newcastle 2 times out of 5, for Aston Villa - 1 out of 5. In the second half, Newcastle was over 1.5 in 3 out of 5, Aston Villa - 1 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Newcastle most frequently scored between 76-90 minutes (33%), Aston Villa between 46-60 (50%). Newcastle concedes most often between 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each), Aston Villa between 16-30 (40%). Both teams to score - yes - is at 1.55, supported by the fact that Newcastle consistently scores and Aston Villa has been regularly finding the net in recent matches. Combined goal and half statistics support the bet on both teams to score - yes.

Corners in the Match

Newcastle averages 6 corners per game over the last five matches, while Aston Villa averages 5.2. For over 9.5 corners, Newcastle had 4 out of 5 over, Aston Villa 3 out of 5. The line closest to the average total (11.2) is 11.5: over 11.5 corners - 2.42, under 11.5 - 1.50. Newcastle is favored on corners with odds of 1.60. It makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 or 10.5 corners, given the high averages of both teams and frequent overs in recent games. It's also worth noting that Newcastle consistently delivers more, which is reflected in their favorite status on corners.