Prediction for match Newcastle — Athletic Club, 05.11.2025

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Athletic Club

On November 5th, Newcastle will face Athletic Club in the UEFA Champions League. The odds for Newcastle to win are 1.50, a draw is at 4.20, and Athletic Club's victory is at 6.50. The probabilities are: 62.98% for the English side to win, 22.49% for a draw, and 14.53% for the visitors to triumph. Newcastle holds a clear advantage in both percentages and odds, reflecting the current balance of power ahead of the clash.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle averaged 53.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Athletic Club shows 49.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Newcastle's last three matches: November 2nd - West Ham 3-1 Newcastle, October 29th - Newcastle 2-0 Tottenham, October 25th - Newcastle 2-1 Fulham. Athletic Club's last three games: November 1st - Real Sociedad 3-2 Athletic Club, October 25th - Athletic Club 0-1 Getafe, October 22nd - Athletic Club 3-1 Qarabag. In their head-to-head on July 30, 2022, Newcastle won 2-1, with the total over 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Newcastle's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals happened 4 out of 5 times, while for Athletic Club, it was 3 out of 5. On average, Newcastle scores 1.8 goals and concedes 1.2, while Athletic scores 1.4 and concedes the same. Newcastle's matches averaged 3 goals, and Athletic's 2.6. By halves: Newcastle had the total over 1.5 in the second half 3 out of 5 times, and Athletic Club also 3 out of 5. Newcastle most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), while Athletic Club peaks in the 76th-90th minute (38%). Both teams most often concede late: Newcastle in the 76th-90th (33%), Athletic in the 76th-90th (40%). This indicates a high pace in the second half and a tendency for goals after the break. Considering the frequency of the total over 2.5 and the decent scoring from both sides, betting on over 2.5 goals seems optimal.

Corners in the Match

Newcastle averaged 6.6 corners per game in their last five matches, Athletic Club 4. The total over 9.5 corners occurred 3 out of 5 times for Newcastle and 1 out of 5 for Athletic Club. The total over 9.5 corners is at 1.82, under 9.5 is at 1.98. Newcastle is favored in corners with odds of 1.62. Considering Newcastle's high corner stats and frequent flank activity, betting on Newcastle's individual total corners over 4.5 (1.67) also seems justified. However, for the overall total, looking at over 9.5 corners seems more logical, given Newcastle's frequency.