Prediction for match Newcastle — Bournemouth, 10.01.2026

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

In the FA Cup on January 10th, Newcastle will face Bournemouth. According to the 1X2 odds, Newcastle is the favorite with odds of 1.72, a draw is offered at 3.94, and a Bournemouth victory at 4.30. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newcastle - 54.45%, draw - 23.77%, Bournemouth - 21.78%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.62, both teams to score is 1.59, and over 3.0 goals is 1.95. The under 2.5 goals option is priced at 2.25. These metrics suggest Newcastle is the preferable choice, but Bournemouth is capable of surprising, given their recent scoring form.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle has an average possession of 57.4%, averages 7.4 corners, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 7.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per game. Bournemouth, in the same period, shows 46.8% possession, 6.6 corners, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In Newcastle's last three matches: January 7, 2026 - Newcastle vs Leeds - 4-3, January 4, 2026 - Newcastle vs Crystal Palace - 2-0, December 30, 2025 - Burnley vs Newcastle - 1-3. For Bournemouth: January 7, 2026 - Bournemouth vs Tottenham - 3-2, January 3, 2026 - Bournemouth vs Arsenal - 2-3, December 30, 2025 - Chelsea vs Bournemouth - 2-2. In their head-to-head on September 21, 2025, Bournemouth and Newcastle drew 0-0.

Goals Statistics

In Newcastle's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times, for Bournemouth - 4 times. Newcastle averages 3.6 goals per game, Bournemouth - 4.2, indicating high scoring potential for both teams. Newcastle scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 1.4, while Bournemouth scores 1.8 and concedes 2.4. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for Newcastle, 4 times for Bournemouth, and similarly in the second half: 3 for Newcastle, 4 for Bournemouth. Newcastle's most frequent scoring intervals are 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), while Bournemouth's are 0-15 and 76-90 (25% each). Newcastle most often concedes in 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 (25% each), Bournemouth in 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, 76-90 (22% each). Considering both teams' high scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 totals, and active finishes, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.62 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Newcastle averages 7.4 corners per match, Bournemouth - 6.6. In their last five matches, the over 9.5 corners total was reached 4 out of 5 times for both teams. The line for over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.48, under 9.5 at 2.36. Newcastle is favored for corners at 1.75. The combined average for both teams is 14 corners, which is significantly above the standard lines, making the over 9.5 corners option logical. Additionally, Newcastle consistently delivers many corners, and Bournemouth maintains a high pace in this metric, making a bet on the over in corners justified.