Prediction for match Newcastle — Burnley

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on December 6, 2025, Newcastle will face Burnley. According to the 1X2 odds, a Newcastle win is priced at 1.32, a draw at 5.88, and a Burnley win at 11.40. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newcastle - 74.61%, draw - 16.75%, Burnley - 8.64%. Newcastle is the clear favorite based on both percentages and odds. Additionally, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.66, and under 3.5 goals are 1.55, indicating high expectations for goals.

Recent Matches Overview

In their last three matches, Newcastle drew 2-2 with Tottenham (Dec 2, 2025), thrashed Everton 4-1 (Nov 29, 2025), and lost to Marseille 1-2 (Nov 25, 2025). Burnley, in their last three games, lost 0-1 to Crystal Palace (Dec 3, 2025), fell 1-3 to Brentford (Nov 29, 2025), and were defeated 0-2 by Chelsea (Nov 22, 2025). In their head-to-head clash on May 4, 2024, Burnley lost to Newcastle 1-4. Additional stats show Newcastle averages 46% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 4.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game over the last five matches. Burnley maintains 50.6% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 10.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.4 times per game.

Goal Scoring Trends

Newcastle averages a total of 3.8 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1.8. Burnley's matches average 2.8 goals, but they score only 0.6 and concede 2.2. Newcastle has seen over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 games, while Burnley has in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Newcastle had over 1.5 goals in just 1 out of 5 games, while Burnley had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Newcastle is consistently productive: 5 out of 5 for over 1.5, with Burnley at 2 out of 5. Newcastle most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), while Burnley scores most between the 76th and 90th minute (83%). Newcastle concedes most often in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 76-90 (22% each), while Burnley concedes most between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). Given Newcastle's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and Burnley's weak attack, betting on under 3.5 goals at 1.55 seems logical.

Corner Kick Totals Analysis

On average, Newcastle takes 6 corners per match, while Burnley takes 3. In their last 5 games, Newcastle surpassed the over 9.5 corners total 4 times, and Burnley did so 3 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.06. Newcastle is favored to win the corner battle with odds of 1.17. Betting on over 9.5 corners looks justified, considering Newcastle's activity and frequent success in crossing this line in recent matches.