Prediction for match Newcastle — Chelsea, 20.12.2025

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Chelsea

In the Premier League on December 20, Newcastle will face Chelsea. The odds are quite evenly matched: Chelsea's win is priced at 2.56, Newcastle's at 2.82, and a draw at 3.71. According to bookmakers, the probability of outcomes is as follows: Chelsea - 38.49%, Newcastle - 34.94%, draw - 26.56%. With these figures, the match promises to be without a clear favorite, and the chances of success are roughly comparable, increasing interest in additional markets related to team performance and individual statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle has an average possession of 57%, with 2 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Chelsea, in these aspects, has 59% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1 offside on average. In the last three matches, Newcastle played as follows: December 17 - Newcastle vs Fulham - 2-1, December 14 - Sunderland vs Newcastle - 1-0, December 10 - Bayer vs Newcastle - 2-2. Chelsea played three matches in the same period: December 16 - Cardiff City vs Chelsea - 1-3, December 13 - Chelsea vs Everton - 2-0, December 9 - Atalanta vs Chelsea - 2-1. In the last head-to-head on May 11, Newcastle defeated Chelsea 2-0.

Goals and Match Statistics

Newcastle and Chelsea have shown high-scoring capabilities in their last five matches. Newcastle averages 3 goals per match, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Chelsea is slightly lower, with an average of 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Newcastle hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 4 out of 5 matches, Chelsea in 3 out of 5. Both teams exceeded the 1.5 goals in the first half twice in five matches, while in the second half Chelsea did it three times, Newcastle twice. Newcastle most frequently scores and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (33% and 50% respectively), while Chelsea's goals are spread between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (25% each), with goals conceded mostly between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (40% each). The recent match dynamics and consistent over 2.5 goal results suggest a bet on a high-scoring match. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.75, which seems logical given the goal statistics, frequency of overs, and both teams' second-half activity.

Corners in the Match

Newcastle consistently delivers 7.4 corners per game in their last five matches, while Chelsea averages 3.8. Newcastle hit the over 9.5 corners mark 4 times out of 5, Chelsea 2 out of 5. The line is set at over 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.56, under 9.5 at 2.21. Newcastle's win on corners is priced at 1.92. Considering Newcastle's high activity in this aspect and regular overs on the 9.5 corners line, it makes sense to consider a bet on the over corners total or Newcastle's advantage in the number of corners.