Prediction for match Newcastle — Crystal Palace, 04.01.2026

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

In the English Premier League on January 4, Newcastle will face Crystal Palace. The odds for a Newcastle win are 1.71, a draw is 4.11, and a Crystal Palace victory is 5.38. According to probabilities, Newcastle has a 57.67% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.00%, and Crystal Palace is at 18.33%. Among the main betting options, the bet on over 2.5 goals stands out with odds of 1.86.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Newcastle defeated Burnley 3-1, lost to Manchester United 0-1, and drew 2-2 with Chelsea. Crystal Palace drew 1-1 with Fulham, lost 0-1 to Tottenham, and fell to Arsenal 8-9. On average over five matches, Newcastle has 55.8% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 7.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times. Crystal Palace shows 47.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 3 offsides per game. In their last head-to-head on April 16, 2025, Newcastle thrashed Crystal Palace 5-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Newcastle's average total goals per match is 2.6, while Crystal Palace's is 2.8. Newcastle scores 1.4 and concedes 1.2, Crystal Palace scores 1 and concedes 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Newcastle has 3 out of 5 matches over, Crystal Palace has 2 out of 5. By halves, Newcastle has 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, but only 1 out of 5 in the second. Crystal Palace has 1 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Newcastle most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (43%), while Crystal Palace scores in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (38% each). Newcastle most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (33%), Crystal Palace in the final minutes (76-90, 50%). Overall, both teams are inclined towards high-scoring matches, especially Crystal Palace in the second half, making the bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.86 justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Newcastle takes 6.4 corners per game, Crystal Palace 5.2. In 5 matches, both teams recorded 3 out of 5 on over 9.5 corners. The line highlights two totals: over 9.5 corners at 1.71, under 9.5 at 2.06. Newcastle is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.44. Given the average figures and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.