Prediction for match Newcastle — Everton

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Newcastle vs Everton match in the English Premier League will take place on 28.02.2026. According to the odds: a Newcastle win is priced at 1.79, a draw is at 4.06, and an Everton victory is at 4.77. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newcastle - 55.06%, draw - 24.28%, Everton - 20.66%. A Newcastle victory is considered the most likely outcome, however, the percentage gap between a draw and an Everton win is not very large, adding interest to the betting choice. Additionally, the odds on total goals deserve attention, considering Newcastle's attacking profile in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Newcastle beat Qarabag 3-2 (24.02.2026), lost to Manchester City 1-2 (21.02.2026), and thrashed Qarabag 6-1 (18.02.2026). Everton in their last three games lost to Manchester United 0-1 (23.02.2026), were defeated by Bournemouth 1-2 (10.02.2026), and beat Fulham 2-1 (07.02.2026). On average over the last five matches, Newcastle has 54.6% possession, records 2.2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Everton has 50.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside. In their head-to-head on 29.11.2025, Everton lost to Newcastle 1-4, which also highlights the scoring nature of their encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five-match series, Newcastle shows a strong over-profile: all 5 out of 5 matches had a total over 2.5. The average number of goals in Newcastle's matches is 4.4, with the team scoring 3 goals per game and conceding 1.4. For Everton in the same period, the total over 2.5 occurred 2 times out of 5, with an average total of 2.2 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Newcastle had a total over 1.5 in the first half 3 times out of 5, and in the second half 4 out of 5. Everton had no instances of over 1.5 in the first half, but 3 out of 5 in the second half. By intervals, Newcastle most often scores in the first 15 minutes (50%) and concedes most frequently at the end of the first half (31-45, 27%). Everton scores most often in four different intervals, at 25% each: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, 76-90, and concedes mainly in the 61-75 minute segment (57%). Given Newcastle's high scoring and Everton's not-so-reliable defense, a bet on total over 2.5 seems logical. The odds for this outcome are 1.81.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Newcastle earns 7.4 corners per match, Everton - 5.8. In their last five-match series, Newcastle's total corners over 9.5 occurred 5 times out of 5, and Everton's 2 out of 5. Among the total corners closest to the sum of the averages (13.2) is the value 10.5, for which there are both options: total corners over 10.5 is at 1.96, under 10.5 is at 1.79. For the outcome on corners, Newcastle is the favorite with odds of 1.36. Considering both teams' activity on flank deliveries, high dynamics in this indicator can be expected, and a bet on over 10.5 corners looks justified for fans of statistical markets.