Prediction for match Newcastle — Manchester City, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Newcastle vs Manchester City

On November 22, 2025, a Premier League match will take place between Newcastle and Manchester City. The odds for a Manchester City win are 2.07, Newcastle's win is at 3.62, and a draw is priced at 3.90. In terms of probability: Manchester City's victory is estimated at 47.56%, Newcastle's at 27.20%, and a draw at 25.24%. Based on these figures, Manchester City stands out as the favorite, but Newcastle also has significant chances. Betting on the outcome suggests an active game, considering the attacking potential of both teams this season.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Newcastle had 53.8% possession, averaged 1.8 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Manchester City, over the same period, had 55.4% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, recorded 11.4 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Newcastle's last three matches: November 9 - Brentford vs Newcastle 3-1, November 5 - Newcastle vs Athletic Bilbao 2-0, November 2 - West Ham vs Newcastle 3-1. Manchester City's results: November 9 - Manchester City vs Liverpool 3-0, November 5 - Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund 4-1, November 2 - Manchester City vs Bournemouth 3-1. In their head-to-head on February 15, 2025, Manchester City thrashed Newcastle 4-0, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Newcastle's games saw over 2.5 goals 3 times, while Manchester City had 4 out of 5. Newcastle broke the 1.5 goals mark in the first half only once, whereas Manchester City did so 4 out of 5 times, indicating a strong start by the visitors. In the second half, both teams exceeded 1.5 goals 2 times out of 5. Average stats: Newcastle - 3 goals per match, Manchester City - 3.4. Scoring: Newcastle - 1.6, Manchester City - 2.6; conceding: Newcastle - 1.4, Manchester City - 0.8. Newcastle's most frequent goal interval is the 76-90 minute mark (33%), while for Manchester City it's the 16-30 minute mark (38%). In terms of conceding, Newcastle often allows goals in the first 30 minutes and early in the second half, while Manchester City concedes most in the final minutes (76-90 minute, 40%). Both teams display a high-scoring style, and betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.76 seems logical. Considering Manchester City's attacking form and frequent over totals in recent games, the prediction for a high-scoring match is backed by both teams' statistics.

Betting on Corners

Newcastle averages 4.2 corners per match, while Manchester City averages 6.8. In the last 5 matches, Newcastle only exceeded the 9.5 corners total once, whereas Manchester City did so 4 times out of 5. The total corners over 9 is priced at 1.55, and under 11 at 1.48. Manchester City is the favorite in the corners market with odds of 1.62. Given Manchester City's high corner frequency and Newcastle's consistent deliveries, betting on over 9 total corners looks justified. It is also worth noting Manchester City's individual corner total, which consistently exceeds 5 per game.